Recent FDIC resolutions of two small institutions—Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust in January and Community Bank and Trust–West Georgia in May—reflect routine supervisory actions amid contained commercial real estate pressures rather than systemic stress. With roughly 12 days until the June 30 resolution, trader-implied odds for additional failures remain low, supported by elevated capital ratios at most banks, the $250,000 deposit-insurance ceiling, and the absence of acute liquidity events. Forward-looking risks center on concentrated CRE exposures at regional lenders and any surprise deterioration in credit quality, though Federal Reserve stress-test scenarios and current monetary-policy settings continue to price in orderly conditions through mid-year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$591,132 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
JPMorgan Chase
ไม่
HSBC
ไม่
Scotiabank
ไม่
BNP Paribas
ไม่
UBS
ไม่
ดอยช์แบงก์
ไม่
ซิตี้กรุ๊ป
ไม่
โกลด์แมน แซคส์
ไม่
Lloyds
ไม่
BMO
ไม่
ซานทานแดร์
ไม่
KeyBank
ไม่
มอร์แกน สแตนลีย์
ไม่
เวลส์ ฟาร์โก้
ไม่
RBC
No
ธนาคารยูเอส
ไม่
Truist
ไม่
แบงก์ออฟอเมริกา
ไม่
BNY
ไม่
$591,132 ปริมาณ
JPMorgan Chase
$157,093 ปริมาณ
ไม่
HSBC
$48,245 ปริมาณ
ไม่
Scotiabank
$48,817 ปริมาณ
ไม่
BNP Paribas
$24,961 ปริมาณ
ไม่
UBS
$41,047 ปริมาณ
ไม่
ดอยช์แบงก์
$182,455 ปริมาณ
ไม่
ซิตี้กรุ๊ป
$15,407 ปริมาณ
ไม่
โกลด์แมน แซคส์
$38,180 ปริมาณ
ไม่
Lloyds
$1,254 ปริมาณ
ไม่
BMO
$1,964 ปริมาณ
ไม่
ซานทานแดร์
$17,780 ปริมาณ
ไม่
KeyBank
$1,799 ปริมาณ
ไม่
มอร์แกน สแตนลีย์
$2,399 ปริมาณ
ไม่
เวลส์ ฟาร์โก้
$1,835 ปริมาณ
ไม่
RBC
$623 ปริมาณ
No
ธนาคารยูเอส
$2,783 ปริมาณ
ไม่
Truist
$1,050 ปริมาณ
ไม่
แบงก์ออฟอเมริกา
$2,217 ปริมาณ
ไม่
BNY
$1,223 ปริมาณ
ไม่
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:
- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.
- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.
- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.
- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.
- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.
If there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent FDIC resolutions of two small institutions—Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust in January and Community Bank and Trust–West Georgia in May—reflect routine supervisory actions amid contained commercial real estate pressures rather than systemic stress. With roughly 12 days until the June 30 resolution, trader-implied odds for additional failures remain low, supported by elevated capital ratios at most banks, the $250,000 deposit-insurance ceiling, and the absence of acute liquidity events. Forward-looking risks center on concentrated CRE exposures at regional lenders and any surprise deterioration in credit quality, though Federal Reserve stress-test scenarios and current monetary-policy settings continue to price in orderly conditions through mid-year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:
- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.
- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.
- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.
- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.
- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.
If there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:
- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.
- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.
- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.
- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.
- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.
If there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 30, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$591,132วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 30, 2025, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: ไม่
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: ไม่
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:
- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.
- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.
- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.
- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.
- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.
If there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent FDIC resolutions of two small institutions—Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust in January and Community Bank and Trust–West Georgia in May—reflect routine supervisory actions amid contained commercial real estate pressures rather than systemic stress. With roughly 12 days until the June 30 resolution, trader-implied odds for additional failures remain low, supported by elevated capital ratios at most banks, the $250,000 deposit-insurance ceiling, and the absence of acute liquidity events. Forward-looking risks center on concentrated CRE exposures at regional lenders and any surprise deterioration in credit quality, though Federal Reserve stress-test scenarios and current monetary-policy settings continue to price in orderly conditions through mid-year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:
- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.
- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.
- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.
- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.
- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.
If there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:
- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.
- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.
- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.
- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.
- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.
If there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$591,132วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 30, 2025, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: ไม่
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: ไม่
Recent FDIC resolutions of two small institutions—Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust in January and Community Bank and Trust–West Georgia in May—reflect routine supervisory actions amid contained commercial real estate pressures rather than systemic stress. With roughly 12 days until the June 30 resolution, trader-implied odds for additional failures remain low, supported by elevated capital ratios at most banks, the $250,000 deposit-insurance ceiling, and the absence of acute liquidity events. Forward-looking risks center on concentrated CRE exposures at regional lenders and any surprise deterioration in credit quality, though Federal Reserve stress-test scenarios and current monetary-policy settings continue to price in orderly conditions through mid-year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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