Apple's consistent September launch cadence for flagship devices, combined with multiple credible reports from July 2026 confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max availability alongside the first foldable model this fall, underpins the 97% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Traders view the Pro variants as fulfilling the core resolution criteria despite rumors that the base iPhone 18 and lower-cost models may shift to early 2027. This strategy aligns with Apple's history of annual hardware refreshes and recent supply-chain patterns, though realistic disruptions such as major production delays, regulatory hurdles in key markets, or unexpected technical setbacks could still push the entire lineup into the following year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$162,245 ปริมาณ
$162,245 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$162,245 ปริมาณ
$162,245 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent September launch cadence for flagship devices, combined with multiple credible reports from July 2026 confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max availability alongside the first foldable model this fall, underpins the 97% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Traders view the Pro variants as fulfilling the core resolution criteria despite rumors that the base iPhone 18 and lower-cost models may shift to early 2027. This strategy aligns with Apple's history of annual hardware refreshes and recent supply-chain patterns, though realistic disruptions such as major production delays, regulatory hurdles in key markets, or unexpected technical setbacks could still push the entire lineup into the following year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$162,245วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent September launch cadence for flagship devices, combined with multiple credible reports from July 2026 confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max availability alongside the first foldable model this fall, underpins the 97% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Traders view the Pro variants as fulfilling the core resolution criteria despite rumors that the base iPhone 18 and lower-cost models may shift to early 2027. This strategy aligns with Apple's history of annual hardware refreshes and recent supply-chain patterns, though realistic disruptions such as major production delays, regulatory hurdles in key markets, or unexpected technical setbacks could still push the entire lineup into the following year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$162,245วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's consistent September launch cadence for flagship devices, combined with multiple credible reports from July 2026 confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max availability alongside the first foldable model this fall, underpins the 97% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Traders view the Pro variants as fulfilling the core resolution criteria despite rumors that the base iPhone 18 and lower-cost models may shift to early 2027. This strategy aligns with Apple's history of annual hardware refreshes and recent supply-chain patterns, though realistic disruptions such as major production delays, regulatory hurdles in key markets, or unexpected technical setbacks could still push the entire lineup into the following year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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