Russian forces have intensified assaults in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, capturing territory north of Myrnohrad—including Rodynske—on April 17 amid ongoing pressure on Grishino and flanking maneuvers threatening Shevchenko. Geolocated footage and reports confirm incremental advances northwest of Pokrovsk near Hryshyne and toward Vasilevka, though Ukrainian counterpressure with drones and artillery has disrupted Russian infiltrations. Over the past month, Moscow's tactical aviation and infantry pushes have strained Ukrainian defenses east of the M-30 highway, a key supply route, without confirmed entry into Shevchenko. Traders weigh steady Russian momentum against resilient Ukrainian fortifications and rapid-response strikes, with no major diplomatic shifts; resolution hinges on verifiable geolocated footage of Russian troops entering the settlement by the market's deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Russia enter Shevchenko by...?
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by...?
$27,208 ปริมาณ
April 30
6%
$27,208 ปริมาณ
April 30
6%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 12, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have intensified assaults in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, capturing territory north of Myrnohrad—including Rodynske—on April 17 amid ongoing pressure on Grishino and flanking maneuvers threatening Shevchenko. Geolocated footage and reports confirm incremental advances northwest of Pokrovsk near Hryshyne and toward Vasilevka, though Ukrainian counterpressure with drones and artillery has disrupted Russian infiltrations. Over the past month, Moscow's tactical aviation and infantry pushes have strained Ukrainian defenses east of the M-30 highway, a key supply route, without confirmed entry into Shevchenko. Traders weigh steady Russian momentum against resilient Ukrainian fortifications and rapid-response strikes, with no major diplomatic shifts; resolution hinges on verifiable geolocated footage of Russian troops entering the settlement by the market's deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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