Ongoing military conflict between the United States and Iran, which began in late February 2026 and includes strikes followed by a fragile April ceasefire and renewed clashes over Strait of Hormuz access, has kept bilateral ties at a historic low. The Trump administration maintains no diplomatic or consular presence in Iran, relying on Switzerland as protecting power while issuing repeated security alerts urging Americans to depart. Recent statements emphasize sanctions pressure and compensation demands as preconditions for any talks, with negotiations limited to intermediaries and no initiatives or Senate actions toward embassy restoration. These verified developments underpin the 95.5% trader consensus against reopening this year. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or full de-escalation before year-end remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
5% โอกาส
$158,284 ปริมาณ
$158,284 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
5% โอกาส
$158,284 ปริมาณ
$158,284 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing military conflict between the United States and Iran, which began in late February 2026 and includes strikes followed by a fragile April ceasefire and renewed clashes over Strait of Hormuz access, has kept bilateral ties at a historic low. The Trump administration maintains no diplomatic or consular presence in Iran, relying on Switzerland as protecting power while issuing repeated security alerts urging Americans to depart. Recent statements emphasize sanctions pressure and compensation demands as preconditions for any talks, with negotiations limited to intermediaries and no initiatives or Senate actions toward embassy restoration. These verified developments underpin the 95.5% trader consensus against reopening this year. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or full de-escalation before year-end remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$158,284วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing military conflict between the United States and Iran, which began in late February 2026 and includes strikes followed by a fragile April ceasefire and renewed clashes over Strait of Hormuz access, has kept bilateral ties at a historic low. The Trump administration maintains no diplomatic or consular presence in Iran, relying on Switzerland as protecting power while issuing repeated security alerts urging Americans to depart. Recent statements emphasize sanctions pressure and compensation demands as preconditions for any talks, with negotiations limited to intermediaries and no initiatives or Senate actions toward embassy restoration. These verified developments underpin the 95.5% trader consensus against reopening this year. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or full de-escalation before year-end remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$158,284วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military conflict between the United States and Iran, which began in late February 2026 and includes strikes followed by a fragile April ceasefire and renewed clashes over Strait of Hormuz access, has kept bilateral ties at a historic low. The Trump administration maintains no diplomatic or consular presence in Iran, relying on Switzerland as protecting power while issuing repeated security alerts urging Americans to depart. Recent statements emphasize sanctions pressure and compensation demands as preconditions for any talks, with negotiations limited to intermediaries and no initiatives or Senate actions toward embassy restoration. These verified developments underpin the 95.5% trader consensus against reopening this year. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or full de-escalation before year-end remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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