Trader consensus favors three countries at 31.7%, reflecting Israel's confirmed 2026 airstrikes against Iran—launched February 28 in a U.S.-backed campaign targeting nuclear sites and leadership—alongside ongoing operations in Lebanon versus Hezbollah and routine Syrian interdictions. Recent de-escalation, including a U.S.-Iran ceasefire on April 7 and tentative Israel-Lebanon truce talks on April 15 amid fragile strains from April 16 cross-border strikes, has curbed expansion to new fronts like Yemen's Houthis, who joined Iranian retaliation in late March but faced no verified Israeli hits yet. Support for four (19.1%) hinges on potential Houthi escalation or Iraqi militia involvement, while higher tallies remain slim absent major diplomatic breakdowns or fresh proxy activations before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว3 31.9%
4 18.9%
5 17.9%
6 9.3%
$6,461,263 ปริมาณ
$6,461,263 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
3
32%
4
19%
5
11%
6
9%
7
2%
8
1%
9
1%
10
1%
11
<1%
12
<1%
13
<1%
14
<1%
15+
<1%
3 31.9%
4 18.9%
5 17.9%
6 9.3%
$6,461,263 ปริมาณ
$6,461,263 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
3
$1,902,236 ปริมาณ
32%
4
$1,145,396 ปริมาณ
19%
5
$497,853 ปริมาณ
11%
6
$627,300 ปริมาณ
9%
7
$603,035 ปริมาณ
2%
8
$517,610 ปริมาณ
1%
9
$222,410 ปริมาณ
1%
10
$376,951 ปริมาณ
1%
11
$101,995 ปริมาณ
<1%
12
$62,726 ปริมาณ
<1%
13
$140,545 ปริมาณ
<1%
14
$101,081 ปริมาณ
<1%
15+
$36,545 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors three countries at 31.7%, reflecting Israel's confirmed 2026 airstrikes against Iran—launched February 28 in a U.S.-backed campaign targeting nuclear sites and leadership—alongside ongoing operations in Lebanon versus Hezbollah and routine Syrian interdictions. Recent de-escalation, including a U.S.-Iran ceasefire on April 7 and tentative Israel-Lebanon truce talks on April 15 amid fragile strains from April 16 cross-border strikes, has curbed expansion to new fronts like Yemen's Houthis, who joined Iranian retaliation in late March but faced no verified Israeli hits yet. Support for four (19.1%) hinges on potential Houthi escalation or Iraqi militia involvement, while higher tallies remain slim absent major diplomatic breakdowns or fresh proxy activations before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 13, 2025, 10:52 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,461,263วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 10:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors three countries at 31.7%, reflecting Israel's confirmed 2026 airstrikes against Iran—launched February 28 in a U.S.-backed campaign targeting nuclear sites and leadership—alongside ongoing operations in Lebanon versus Hezbollah and routine Syrian interdictions. Recent de-escalation, including a U.S.-Iran ceasefire on April 7 and tentative Israel-Lebanon truce talks on April 15 amid fragile strains from April 16 cross-border strikes, has curbed expansion to new fronts like Yemen's Houthis, who joined Iranian retaliation in late March but faced no verified Israeli hits yet. Support for four (19.1%) hinges on potential Houthi escalation or Iraqi militia involvement, while higher tallies remain slim absent major diplomatic breakdowns or fresh proxy activations before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,461,263วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 10:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors three countries at 31.7%, reflecting Israel's confirmed 2026 airstrikes against Iran—launched February 28 in a U.S.-backed campaign targeting nuclear sites and leadership—alongside ongoing operations in Lebanon versus Hezbollah and routine Syrian interdictions. Recent de-escalation, including a U.S.-Iran ceasefire on April 7 and tentative Israel-Lebanon truce talks on April 15 amid fragile strains from April 16 cross-border strikes, has curbed expansion to new fronts like Yemen's Houthis, who joined Iranian retaliation in late March but faced no verified Israeli hits yet. Support for four (19.1%) hinges on potential Houthi escalation or Iraqi militia involvement, while higher tallies remain slim absent major diplomatic breakdowns or fresh proxy activations before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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