The UAE's explicit statements ruling out further withdrawals from regional bodies shortly after its April 2026 OPEC exit, combined with continued participation in GCC initiatives, underpin the 93% implied probability against departure in 2026. GCC foreign ministers and the secretary-general have advanced concrete integration steps, including approval and imminent launch of a unified tourist visa for all six members. UAE representatives have also emphasized unity in joint GCC-U.S. ministerial meetings amid regional security challenges. While bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia persist over energy quotas and Yemen policy, these have not produced any formal exit signals or procedural moves. Traders assess the structural barriers—shared defense commitments, economic interdependence, and institutional continuity—as outweighing isolated strains, consistent with historical patterns of GCC cohesion despite periodic divergences.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
7% โอกาส
$100,518 ปริมาณ
$100,518 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
7% โอกาส
$100,518 ปริมาณ
$100,518 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UAE's explicit statements ruling out further withdrawals from regional bodies shortly after its April 2026 OPEC exit, combined with continued participation in GCC initiatives, underpin the 93% implied probability against departure in 2026. GCC foreign ministers and the secretary-general have advanced concrete integration steps, including approval and imminent launch of a unified tourist visa for all six members. UAE representatives have also emphasized unity in joint GCC-U.S. ministerial meetings amid regional security challenges. While bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia persist over energy quotas and Yemen policy, these have not produced any formal exit signals or procedural moves. Traders assess the structural barriers—shared defense commitments, economic interdependence, and institutional continuity—as outweighing isolated strains, consistent with historical patterns of GCC cohesion despite periodic divergences.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$100,518วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UAE's explicit statements ruling out further withdrawals from regional bodies shortly after its April 2026 OPEC exit, combined with continued participation in GCC initiatives, underpin the 93% implied probability against departure in 2026. GCC foreign ministers and the secretary-general have advanced concrete integration steps, including approval and imminent launch of a unified tourist visa for all six members. UAE representatives have also emphasized unity in joint GCC-U.S. ministerial meetings amid regional security challenges. While bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia persist over energy quotas and Yemen policy, these have not produced any formal exit signals or procedural moves. Traders assess the structural barriers—shared defense commitments, economic interdependence, and institutional continuity—as outweighing isolated strains, consistent with historical patterns of GCC cohesion despite periodic divergences.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$100,518วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The UAE's explicit statements ruling out further withdrawals from regional bodies shortly after its April 2026 OPEC exit, combined with continued participation in GCC initiatives, underpin the 93% implied probability against departure in 2026. GCC foreign ministers and the secretary-general have advanced concrete integration steps, including approval and imminent launch of a unified tourist visa for all six members. UAE representatives have also emphasized unity in joint GCC-U.S. ministerial meetings amid regional security challenges. While bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia persist over energy quotas and Yemen policy, these have not produced any formal exit signals or procedural moves. Traders assess the structural barriers—shared defense commitments, economic interdependence, and institutional continuity—as outweighing isolated strains, consistent with historical patterns of GCC cohesion despite periodic divergences.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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