The Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus uses a personalized proportional system with a 5% threshold, 78 direct mandates, and overhang plus leveling seats that expand the chamber beyond its 130-seat minimum. The 2023 election produced 159 seats due to vote-seat mismatches, and pre-election polling plus early projections for September 20, 2026, showed comparable fragmentation across Linke, CDU, AfD, Grüne, and SPD, sustaining expectations of similar extra mandates. Trader consensus around 158–162 seats reflects this continuity, while lower-probability bands account for scenarios with fewer overhangs or shifts if smaller parties like BSW narrowly miss entry. Official certification of the final tally will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update163+ 29%
<143 5.0%
153–157 1.0%
143–147 <1%
$26,023 Vol.
$26,023 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<143
5%
143–147
<1%
148–152
<1%
153–157
8%
158–162
55%
163+
15%
163+ 29%
<143 5.0%
153–157 1.0%
143–147 <1%
$26,023 Vol.
$26,023 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<143
$4,364 Vol.
5%
143–147
$2,466 Vol.
<1%
148–152
$1,136 Vol.
<1%
153–157
$1,580 Vol.
8%
158–162
$3,012 Vol.
55%
163+
$13,465 Vol.
15%
Elections to the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin (Berlin House of Representatives) are scheduled to be held on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election, including any overhang seats (Überhangmandate) and compensatory seats (Ausgleichsmandate).
The Abgeordnetenhaus has a statutory minimum of 130 seats, of which 78 are elected in single-member constituencies and the remainder allocated from party lists. Where a party wins more constituency seats than its share of valid second votes entitles it to, it retains those seats as overhang seats and other parties in the Abgeordnetenhaus receive compensatory seats, increasing the total size of the chamber.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats allocated in the official final results. Seats subsequently vacated, or changes arising from members leaving or changing party, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results published by the Berlin State Returning Officer (Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin, https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus uses a personalized proportional system with a 5% threshold, 78 direct mandates, and overhang plus leveling seats that expand the chamber beyond its 130-seat minimum. The 2023 election produced 159 seats due to vote-seat mismatches, and pre-election polling plus early projections for September 20, 2026, showed comparable fragmentation across Linke, CDU, AfD, Grüne, and SPD, sustaining expectations of similar extra mandates. Trader consensus around 158–162 seats reflects this continuity, while lower-probability bands account for scenarios with fewer overhangs or shifts if smaller parties like BSW narrowly miss entry. Official certification of the final tally will resolve the market.
Elections to the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin (Berlin House of Representatives) are scheduled to be held on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election, including any overhang seats (Überhangmandate) and compensatory seats (Ausgleichsmandate).
The Abgeordnetenhaus has a statutory minimum of 130 seats, of which 78 are elected in single-member constituencies and the remainder allocated from party lists. Where a party wins more constituency seats than its share of valid second votes entitles it to, it retains those seats as overhang seats and other parties in the Abgeordnetenhaus receive compensatory seats, increasing the total size of the chamber.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats allocated in the official final results. Seats subsequently vacated, or changes arising from members leaving or changing party, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results published by the Berlin State Returning Officer (Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin, https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election, including any overhang seats (Überhangmandate) and compensatory seats (Ausgleichsmandate).
The Abgeordnetenhaus has a statutory minimum of 130 seats, of which 78 are elected in single-member constituencies and the remainder allocated from party lists. Where a party wins more constituency seats than its share of valid second votes entitles it to, it retains those seats as overhang seats and other parties in the Abgeordnetenhaus receive compensatory seats, increasing the total size of the chamber.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats allocated in the official final results. Seats subsequently vacated, or changes arising from members leaving or changing party, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results published by the Berlin State Returning Officer (Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin, https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Volume
$26,023Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections to the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin (Berlin House of Representatives) are scheduled to be held on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election, including any overhang seats (Überhangmandate) and compensatory seats (Ausgleichsmandate).
The Abgeordnetenhaus has a statutory minimum of 130 seats, of which 78 are elected in single-member constituencies and the remainder allocated from party lists. Where a party wins more constituency seats than its share of valid second votes entitles it to, it retains those seats as overhang seats and other parties in the Abgeordnetenhaus receive compensatory seats, increasing the total size of the chamber.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats allocated in the official final results. Seats subsequently vacated, or changes arising from members leaving or changing party, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results published by the Berlin State Returning Officer (Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin, https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus uses a personalized proportional system with a 5% threshold, 78 direct mandates, and overhang plus leveling seats that expand the chamber beyond its 130-seat minimum. The 2023 election produced 159 seats due to vote-seat mismatches, and pre-election polling plus early projections for September 20, 2026, showed comparable fragmentation across Linke, CDU, AfD, Grüne, and SPD, sustaining expectations of similar extra mandates. Trader consensus around 158–162 seats reflects this continuity, while lower-probability bands account for scenarios with fewer overhangs or shifts if smaller parties like BSW narrowly miss entry. Official certification of the final tally will resolve the market.
Elections to the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin (Berlin House of Representatives) are scheduled to be held on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election, including any overhang seats (Überhangmandate) and compensatory seats (Ausgleichsmandate).
The Abgeordnetenhaus has a statutory minimum of 130 seats, of which 78 are elected in single-member constituencies and the remainder allocated from party lists. Where a party wins more constituency seats than its share of valid second votes entitles it to, it retains those seats as overhang seats and other parties in the Abgeordnetenhaus receive compensatory seats, increasing the total size of the chamber.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats allocated in the official final results. Seats subsequently vacated, or changes arising from members leaving or changing party, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results published by the Berlin State Returning Officer (Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin, https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election, including any overhang seats (Überhangmandate) and compensatory seats (Ausgleichsmandate).
The Abgeordnetenhaus has a statutory minimum of 130 seats, of which 78 are elected in single-member constituencies and the remainder allocated from party lists. Where a party wins more constituency seats than its share of valid second votes entitles it to, it retains those seats as overhang seats and other parties in the Abgeordnetenhaus receive compensatory seats, increasing the total size of the chamber.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats allocated in the official final results. Seats subsequently vacated, or changes arising from members leaving or changing party, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results published by the Berlin State Returning Officer (Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin, https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,023Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus uses a personalized proportional system with a 5% threshold, 78 direct mandates, and overhang plus leveling seats that expand the chamber beyond its 130-seat minimum. The 2023 election produced 159 seats due to vote-seat mismatches, and pre-election polling plus early projections for September 20, 2026, showed comparable fragmentation across Linke, CDU, AfD, Grüne, and SPD, sustaining expectations of similar extra mandates. Trader consensus around 158–162 seats reflects this continuity, while lower-probability bands account for scenarios with fewer overhangs or shifts if smaller parties like BSW narrowly miss entry. Official certification of the final tally will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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