Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank seeks reelection in Colorado's 5th District, a seat centered on Colorado Springs and historically Republican-leaning, where no Democrat has won. Democratic nominee Jessica Killin won her June 30 primary and released a July internal poll showing her within one point of Crank among likely voters, with notable undecideds. The race remains rated competitive by analysts, with traders assigning the Republican nominee a 65.5% implied probability driven by the district's partisan baseline, Crank's incumbency, and fundraising patterns. Key factors that could shift outcomes include turnout among military and suburban voters, any late-cycle national political environment, and additional public polling before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCO-05 House Election Winner
$10,448 Vol.
$10,448 Vol.
Republican Party
66%
Democratic Party
34%
$10,448 Vol.
$10,448 Vol.
Republican Party
66%
Democratic Party
34%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank seeks reelection in Colorado's 5th District, a seat centered on Colorado Springs and historically Republican-leaning, where no Democrat has won. Democratic nominee Jessica Killin won her June 30 primary and released a July internal poll showing her within one point of Crank among likely voters, with notable undecideds. The race remains rated competitive by analysts, with traders assigning the Republican nominee a 65.5% implied probability driven by the district's partisan baseline, Crank's incumbency, and fundraising patterns. Key factors that could shift outcomes include turnout among military and suburban voters, any late-cycle national political environment, and additional public polling before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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