Trader consensus shows a closely contested field for the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential slot, with Hunter Biden, Rahm Emanuel, Chelsea Clinton, and Barack Obama holding nearly identical implied probabilities in the low-to-mid 20s. These levels reflect early speculation driven by family ties to recent administrations, prior executive and cabinet experience, and high national visibility rather than any settled party positioning. The tight spreads underscore the long timeline ahead of the convention, where primary outcomes, Senate or gubernatorial performance, and coalition-building within the party could still reshape the field. No major recent catalysts have separated the leaders, leaving room for future events such as midterm results or candidate statements to shift probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDemocratic VP Nominee 2028
Rahm Emanuel 25.4%
Phil Murphy 21.3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%
George Clooney 9.7%
$24,990 Vol.
$24,990 Vol.
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
6%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
2%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
3%
Mark Kelly
6%
Rahm Emanuel
25%
Gina Raimondo
24%
Zohran Mamdani
13%
Roy Cooper
4%
John Fetterman
3%
Jared Polis
3%
Jon Stewart
3%
Barack Obama
16%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Phil Murphy
21%
LeBron James
<1%
Hunter Biden
20%
George Clooney
10%
Chelsea Clinton
22%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
27%
Kim Kardashian
4%
Chris Murphy
2%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Ro Khanna
7%
James Talarico
2%
Elissa Slotkin
4%
Rahm Emanuel 25.4%
Phil Murphy 21.3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%
George Clooney 9.7%
$24,990 Vol.
$24,990 Vol.
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
6%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
2%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
3%
Mark Kelly
6%
Rahm Emanuel
25%
Gina Raimondo
24%
Zohran Mamdani
13%
Roy Cooper
4%
John Fetterman
3%
Jared Polis
3%
Jon Stewart
3%
Barack Obama
16%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Phil Murphy
21%
LeBron James
<1%
Hunter Biden
20%
George Clooney
10%
Chelsea Clinton
22%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
27%
Kim Kardashian
4%
Chris Murphy
2%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Ro Khanna
7%
James Talarico
2%
Elissa Slotkin
4%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows a closely contested field for the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential slot, with Hunter Biden, Rahm Emanuel, Chelsea Clinton, and Barack Obama holding nearly identical implied probabilities in the low-to-mid 20s. These levels reflect early speculation driven by family ties to recent administrations, prior executive and cabinet experience, and high national visibility rather than any settled party positioning. The tight spreads underscore the long timeline ahead of the convention, where primary outcomes, Senate or gubernatorial performance, and coalition-building within the party could still reshape the field. No major recent catalysts have separated the leaders, leaving room for future events such as midterm results or candidate statements to shift probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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