Skip to main content
Market icon
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Market icon
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Mark Kelly 18%

Gavin Newsom 17%

Andy Beshear 16%

James Talarico 16%

Polymarket
BAGO

Mark Kelly 18%

Gavin Newsom 17%

Andy Beshear 16%

James Talarico 16%

Polymarket
BAGO

Gavin Newsom

$23 Vol.

17%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1 Vol.

12%

Pete Buttigieg

$1 Vol.

12%

Josh Shapiro

$1 Vol.

13%

Wes Moore

$1 Vol.

14%

Stephen A. Smith

$1 Vol.

5%

Kamala Harris

$1 Vol.

16%

Gretchen Whitmer

$1 Vol.

15%

Andy Beshear

$1 Vol.

16%

Jon Ossoff

$1 Vol.

15%

Mark Cuban

$2 Vol.

15%

J.B. Pritzker

$1 Vol.

14%

Raphael Warnock

$1 Vol.

14%

Cory Booker

$1 Vol.

15%

Tim Walz

$1 Vol.

15%

Michelle Obama

$1 Vol.

10%

Mark Kelly

$1 Vol.

18%

Rahm Emanuel

$1 Vol.

15%

Gina Raimondo

$1 Vol.

15%

Zohran Mamdani

$1 Vol.

6%

Roy Cooper

$1 Vol.

15%

John Fetterman

$1 Vol.

15%

Jared Polis

$1 Vol.

15%

Jon Stewart

$1 Vol.

15%

Barack Obama

$1 Vol.

12%

Hillary Clinton

$1 Vol.

15%

Liz Cheney

$1 Vol.

14%

Bernie Sanders

$1 Vol.

14%

Phil Murphy

$1 Vol.

14%

LeBron James

$1 Vol.

5%

Hunter Biden

$1 Vol.

10%

George Clooney

$1 Vol.

15%

Chelsea Clinton

$1 Vol.

15%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$12 Vol.

8%

Oprah Winfrey

$1 Vol.

15%

Andrew Yang

$1 Vol.

15%

Beto O’Rourke

$1 Vol.

14%

Kim Kardashian

$1 Vol.

5%

Chris Murphy

$1 Vol.

15%

Ruben Gallego

$1 Vol.

14%

Ro Khanna

$1 Vol.

15%

James Talarico

$1 Vol.

16%

Elissa Slotkin

$1 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the Democratic vice presidential nominee for 2028 remains tightly contested, with Arizona Senator Mark Kelly edging ahead at 18% implied probability amid his recent public indecision on a presidential bid following clashes with the Trump administration and a fundraising surge. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17%, buoyed by his ongoing book tour and early polling leads in shadow primary surveys, while Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear's 16.5% reflects his rising national profile from red-state reelection success and pointed criticisms of Vice President JD Vance. Texas State Representative James Talarico's strong 16% underscores progressive appeal in a fragmented field lacking a clear presidential frontrunner, as evidenced by last week's National Action Network convention where multiple contenders tested messages ahead of 2026 midterms. Strong midterm performances, endorsements, or a solidified top-ticket leader could create separation in this early, fluid race.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$88
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 10, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the Democratic vice presidential nominee for 2028 remains tightly contested, with Arizona Senator Mark Kelly edging ahead at 18% implied probability amid his recent public indecision on a presidential bid following clashes with the Trump administration and a fundraising surge. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17%, buoyed by his ongoing book tour and early polling leads in shadow primary surveys, while Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear's 16.5% reflects his rising national profile from red-state reelection success and pointed criticisms of Vice President JD Vance. Texas State Representative James Talarico's strong 16% underscores progressive appeal in a fragmented field lacking a clear presidential frontrunner, as evidenced by last week's National Action Network convention where multiple contenders tested messages ahead of 2026 midterms. Strong midterm performances, endorsements, or a solidified top-ticket leader could create separation in this early, fluid race.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$88
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 10, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Democratic VP Nominee 2028" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 43+ posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Mark Kelly" sa 18%, sinusundan ng "Gavin Newsom" sa 17%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 18¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 18% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Democratic VP Nominee 2028" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Apr 14, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Democratic VP Nominee 2028," i-browse ang 43+ available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Democratic VP Nominee 2028" ay "Mark Kelly" sa 18%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 18% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Gavin Newsom" sa 17%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Democratic VP Nominee 2028" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.