The early 2028 Republican vice-presidential market remains tightly bunched because no presumptive presidential nominee has emerged more than two years before primaries, leaving traders pricing in a fragmented field of Trump-aligned figures with cabinet posts, media profiles, or family ties. Marco Rubio’s State Department role and recent foreign-policy visibility, Vivek Ramaswamy’s outsider messaging, Tucker Carlson’s audience reach, and Ivanka Trump’s name recognition each command roughly one-fifth of the probability, reflecting competing visions of the ticket’s ideal balance. J.D. Vance’s lower share as sitting vice president underscores that incumbency alone does not confer VP certainty. Developments such as 2026 midterm results, explicit endorsements from the current administration, or shifts in primary polling could quickly consolidate support behind one or two names while diminishing others.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateRepublican VP Nominee 2028
Marco Rubio 24%
Ivanka Trump 12.2%
J.D. Vance 8%
Katie Britt 4.7%
$16,681 Vol.
$16,681 Vol.
Donald Trump
4%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marco Rubio
24%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Glenn Youngkin
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Ron DeSantis
4%
Nikki Haley
3%
Vivek Ramaswamy
2%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Brian Kemp
4%
Byron Donalds
4%
Elise Stefanik
3%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
2%
Elon Musk
3%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
5%
John Thune
2%
Kristi Noem
3%
Mike Pence
2%
Tucker Carlson
20%
Ivanka Trump
19%
Tom Brady
2%
Rand Paul
2%
Steve Bannon
4%
Erika Kirk
3%
Kim Kardashian
3%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
4%
Thomas Massie
3%
Eric Trump
1%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
5%
Marco Rubio 24%
Ivanka Trump 12.2%
J.D. Vance 8%
Katie Britt 4.7%
$16,681 Vol.
$16,681 Vol.
Donald Trump
4%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marco Rubio
24%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Glenn Youngkin
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Ron DeSantis
4%
Nikki Haley
3%
Vivek Ramaswamy
2%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Brian Kemp
4%
Byron Donalds
4%
Elise Stefanik
3%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
2%
Elon Musk
3%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
5%
John Thune
2%
Kristi Noem
3%
Mike Pence
2%
Tucker Carlson
20%
Ivanka Trump
19%
Tom Brady
2%
Rand Paul
2%
Steve Bannon
4%
Erika Kirk
3%
Kim Kardashian
3%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
4%
Thomas Massie
3%
Eric Trump
1%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
5%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The early 2028 Republican vice-presidential market remains tightly bunched because no presumptive presidential nominee has emerged more than two years before primaries, leaving traders pricing in a fragmented field of Trump-aligned figures with cabinet posts, media profiles, or family ties. Marco Rubio’s State Department role and recent foreign-policy visibility, Vivek Ramaswamy’s outsider messaging, Tucker Carlson’s audience reach, and Ivanka Trump’s name recognition each command roughly one-fifth of the probability, reflecting competing visions of the ticket’s ideal balance. J.D. Vance’s lower share as sitting vice president underscores that incumbency alone does not confer VP certainty. Developments such as 2026 midterm results, explicit endorsements from the current administration, or shifts in primary polling could quickly consolidate support behind one or two names while diminishing others.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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