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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Fred Clark 100.0%

Chris Armstrong <1%

Ginger Murray <1%

Polymarket

$46,469 Vol.

Fred Clark 100.0%

Chris Armstrong <1%

Ginger Murray <1%

Polymarket

$46,469 Vol.

icon for Chris Armstrong

Chris Armstrong

$3,075 Vol.

No

icon for Fred Clark

Fred Clark

$34,419 Vol.

Yes

icon for Ginger Murray

Ginger Murray

$8,975 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Fred Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District in the August 11, 2026 primary, leading to his commanding position in the market. As a former state assembly member with prior legislative experience and a background in forestry and conservation relevant to the district's economy, Clark outperformed challengers Ginger Murray and Chris Armstrong in vote tallies reported by the Associated Press and other outlets. Recent campaign activity, including candidate debates and voter outreach across northern Wisconsin counties, contributed to his edge in this open-seat contest following the Republican incumbent's departure. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed primary results, though late procedural developments such as final certification or any recount could still influence resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$46,469
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Fred Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District in the August 11, 2026 primary, leading to his commanding position in the market. As a former state assembly member with prior legislative experience and a background in forestry and conservation relevant to the district's economy, Clark outperformed challengers Ginger Murray and Chris Armstrong in vote tallies reported by the Associated Press and other outlets. Recent campaign activity, including candidate debates and voter outreach across northern Wisconsin counties, contributed to his edge in this open-seat contest following the Republican incumbent's departure. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed primary results, though late procedural developments such as final certification or any recount could still influence resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$46,469
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Kaugnay

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Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?

90%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Fred Clark" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Chris Armstrong" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $46.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 20, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Fred Clark" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Chris Armstrong" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.