Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 24 reached exactly 14°C, per hourly measurements archived on Weather Underground, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 13-14°C highs under persistent northerly winds and partial cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating. Compared to Ankara's April climatological average high of 16-17°C, yesterday's cool, stable conditions reflect typical spring variability. Post-resolution, shifts would require rare data revisions from instrument quality checks or audits by MGM, with final validation typically within 24-48 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Ankara on April 24?
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$89,000 Vol.
$89,000 Vol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$89,000 Vol.
$89,000 Vol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 22, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 24 reached exactly 14°C, per hourly measurements archived on Weather Underground, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 13-14°C highs under persistent northerly winds and partial cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating. Compared to Ankara's April climatological average high of 16-17°C, yesterday's cool, stable conditions reflect typical spring variability. Post-resolution, shifts would require rare data revisions from instrument quality checks or audits by MGM, with final validation typically within 24-48 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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