National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently project Austin highs of 102–104°F on August 19 under persistent upper-level ridging and south-southeast flow that limits cloud cover and moisture. These conditions support the market’s leading 102–103°F outcome at 53% implied probability, consistent with recent observations of triple-digit readings and heat indices reaching 105–112°F amid dry soils and minimal precipitation. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 99°F with occasional excursions above 102°F, while the current stable pattern and lack of incoming fronts or tropical moisture reduce near-term forecast spread. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the next 24 hours will refine whether any subtle cooling or intensification shifts probabilities toward the 100–101°F or 104–105°F bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on August 19?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 19?
102-103°F 54%
100-101°F 24%
104-105°F 17%
98-99°F 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 19, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
54%
104-105°F
17%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 54%
100-101°F 24%
104-105°F 17%
98-99°F 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 19, 2026
93°F or below
$237 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$141 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$179 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$123 Vol.
4%
100-101°F
$227 Vol.
24%
102-103°F
$388 Vol.
54%
104-105°F
$108 Vol.
17%
106-107°F
$122 Vol.
3%
108-109°F
$92 Vol.
1%
110-111°F
$45 Vol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$290 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently project Austin highs of 102–104°F on August 19 under persistent upper-level ridging and south-southeast flow that limits cloud cover and moisture. These conditions support the market’s leading 102–103°F outcome at 53% implied probability, consistent with recent observations of triple-digit readings and heat indices reaching 105–112°F amid dry soils and minimal precipitation. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 99°F with occasional excursions above 102°F, while the current stable pattern and lack of incoming fronts or tropical moisture reduce near-term forecast spread. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the next 24 hours will refine whether any subtle cooling or intensification shifts probabilities toward the 100–101°F or 104–105°F bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,953Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently project Austin highs of 102–104°F on August 19 under persistent upper-level ridging and south-southeast flow that limits cloud cover and moisture. These conditions support the market’s leading 102–103°F outcome at 53% implied probability, consistent with recent observations of triple-digit readings and heat indices reaching 105–112°F amid dry soils and minimal precipitation. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 99°F with occasional excursions above 102°F, while the current stable pattern and lack of incoming fronts or tropical moisture reduce near-term forecast spread. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the next 24 hours will refine whether any subtle cooling or intensification shifts probabilities toward the 100–101°F or 104–105°F bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,953Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently project Austin highs of 102–104°F on August 19 under persistent upper-level ridging and south-southeast flow that limits cloud cover and moisture. These conditions support the market’s leading 102–103°F outcome at 53% implied probability, consistent with recent observations of triple-digit readings and heat indices reaching 105–112°F amid dry soils and minimal precipitation. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 99°F with occasional excursions above 102°F, while the current stable pattern and lack of incoming fronts or tropical moisture reduce near-term forecast spread. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the next 24 hours will refine whether any subtle cooling or intensification shifts probabilities toward the 100–101°F or 104–105°F bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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