Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs indicate a highest temperature near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 20, consistent with peak-summer climatology of 27–30°C highs moderated by Bosphorus sea breezes and typical subtropical high-pressure ridging. Recent 48-hour model updates show minimal day-to-day variability and no anomalous heat advection, narrowing the probability distribution and supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 28°C (37%) and 29°C (27%). Forecasters note low precipitation chances and stable boundary-layer conditions through the period, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum readings from urban stations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 20?
28°C 37%
29°C 27%
27°C 18%
30°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
37%
29°C
27%
30°C
12%
31°C
8%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 37%
29°C 27%
27°C 18%
30°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
37%
29°C
27%
30°C
12%
31°C
8%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs indicate a highest temperature near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 20, consistent with peak-summer climatology of 27–30°C highs moderated by Bosphorus sea breezes and typical subtropical high-pressure ridging. Recent 48-hour model updates show minimal day-to-day variability and no anomalous heat advection, narrowing the probability distribution and supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 28°C (37%) and 29°C (27%). Forecasters note low precipitation chances and stable boundary-layer conditions through the period, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum readings from urban stations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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