Short-term meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 18, 2026, show maximum temperatures clustered around 29–31°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions under mostly sunny skies with light southerly or northeasterly winds. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and BBC highlights highs near 30°C driven by strong solar insolation, urban heat retention, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, though slight variations in wind patterns across the Bosphorus or localized convection could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. This uncertainty explains the closely matched market probabilities for 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C, as traders weigh ensemble forecast spreads and historical August maxima averaging 28–29°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 18?
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
29°C 27%
32°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
27%
30°C
31%
31°C
29%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
29°C 27%
32°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
$177 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$10 Vol.
2%
26°C
$15 Vol.
4%
27°C
$61 Vol.
5%
28°C
$39 Vol.
6%
29°C
$32 Vol.
27%
30°C
$314 Vol.
31%
31°C
$109 Vol.
29%
32°C
$68 Vol.
9%
33°C
$35 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 18, 2026, show maximum temperatures clustered around 29–31°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions under mostly sunny skies with light southerly or northeasterly winds. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and BBC highlights highs near 30°C driven by strong solar insolation, urban heat retention, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, though slight variations in wind patterns across the Bosphorus or localized convection could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. This uncertainty explains the closely matched market probabilities for 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C, as traders weigh ensemble forecast spreads and historical August maxima averaging 28–29°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$906Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 18, 2026, show maximum temperatures clustered around 29–31°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions under mostly sunny skies with light southerly or northeasterly winds. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and BBC highlights highs near 30°C driven by strong solar insolation, urban heat retention, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, though slight variations in wind patterns across the Bosphorus or localized convection could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. This uncertainty explains the closely matched market probabilities for 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C, as traders weigh ensemble forecast spreads and historical August maxima averaging 28–29°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$906Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 18, 2026, show maximum temperatures clustered around 29–31°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions under mostly sunny skies with light southerly or northeasterly winds. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and BBC highlights highs near 30°C driven by strong solar insolation, urban heat retention, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, though slight variations in wind patterns across the Bosphorus or localized convection could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. This uncertainty explains the closely matched market probabilities for 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C, as traders weigh ensemble forecast spreads and historical August maxima averaging 28–29°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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