Recent forecasts from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models on TimeandDate point to persistent cloud cover and light monsoon moisture as the main driver keeping Karachi's August 18 high near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's 50.5% and 27.5% implied probabilities. The southwest monsoon circulation sustains high humidity and reduces direct solar heating, while light winds limit extreme daytime warming typical of pre-monsoon periods. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with occasional showers further capping peaks, making 31°C and 34°C less favored at 16.5% and 5%. Updated model runs show minimal deviation expected in the next 48 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Karachi on August 18?
32°C 52%
33°C 28%
31°C 16%
34°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
16%
32°C
52%
33°C
28%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 52%
33°C 28%
31°C 16%
34°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
16%
32°C
52%
33°C
28%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models on TimeandDate point to persistent cloud cover and light monsoon moisture as the main driver keeping Karachi's August 18 high near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's 50.5% and 27.5% implied probabilities. The southwest monsoon circulation sustains high humidity and reduces direct solar heating, while light winds limit extreme daytime warming typical of pre-monsoon periods. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with occasional showers further capping peaks, making 31°C and 34°C less favored at 16.5% and 5%. Updated model runs show minimal deviation expected in the next 48 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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