Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate typical mid-August winter conditions, with daytime highs expected near 17–19°C amid variable Atlantic influences and lingering effects from earlier cold fronts. The closely matched market probabilities for 18°C and 19°C reflect model uncertainty over cloud cover, wind patterns from the Benguela Current, and localized sea-breeze moderation, which can suppress or allow slight warming. Historical August averages of 17–18°C provide a baseline, while recent observations show gradual recovery from cooler snaps without strong high-pressure ridging that might push temperatures higher. Traders are weighting the narrow range heavily because resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service maximum readings, with limited upside from transient warming. Updated model runs ahead of the 18th will likely refine these odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 18?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 18?
18°C 34%
19°C 29%
20°C 14%
17°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
14%
18°C
34%
19°C
29%
20°C
14%
21°C
7%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 34%
19°C 29%
20°C 14%
17°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
13°C or below
$17 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$9 Vol.
1%
16°C
$105 Vol.
6%
17°C
$48 Vol.
14%
18°C
$151 Vol.
34%
19°C
$36 Vol.
29%
20°C
$1 Vol.
14%
21°C
$54 Vol.
7%
22°C
$17 Vol.
5%
23°C or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate typical mid-August winter conditions, with daytime highs expected near 17–19°C amid variable Atlantic influences and lingering effects from earlier cold fronts. The closely matched market probabilities for 18°C and 19°C reflect model uncertainty over cloud cover, wind patterns from the Benguela Current, and localized sea-breeze moderation, which can suppress or allow slight warming. Historical August averages of 17–18°C provide a baseline, while recent observations show gradual recovery from cooler snaps without strong high-pressure ridging that might push temperatures higher. Traders are weighting the narrow range heavily because resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service maximum readings, with limited upside from transient warming. Updated model runs ahead of the 18th will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$473Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate typical mid-August winter conditions, with daytime highs expected near 17–19°C amid variable Atlantic influences and lingering effects from earlier cold fronts. The closely matched market probabilities for 18°C and 19°C reflect model uncertainty over cloud cover, wind patterns from the Benguela Current, and localized sea-breeze moderation, which can suppress or allow slight warming. Historical August averages of 17–18°C provide a baseline, while recent observations show gradual recovery from cooler snaps without strong high-pressure ridging that might push temperatures higher. Traders are weighting the narrow range heavily because resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service maximum readings, with limited upside from transient warming. Updated model runs ahead of the 18th will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$473Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate typical mid-August winter conditions, with daytime highs expected near 17–19°C amid variable Atlantic influences and lingering effects from earlier cold fronts. The closely matched market probabilities for 18°C and 19°C reflect model uncertainty over cloud cover, wind patterns from the Benguela Current, and localized sea-breeze moderation, which can suppress or allow slight warming. Historical August averages of 17–18°C provide a baseline, while recent observations show gradual recovery from cooler snaps without strong high-pressure ridging that might push temperatures higher. Traders are weighting the narrow range heavily because resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service maximum readings, with limited upside from transient warming. Updated model runs ahead of the 18th will likely refine these odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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