Current short-range forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a daily high near 10°C in Wellington on August 16, driven by southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air under a post-frontal regime. This aligns with typical mid-winter climatology (average August maxima around 12°C) but reflects a temporary dip below seasonal norms, with limited diurnal warming expected amid cloud cover and showers. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering between 9–11°C, though minor shifts in steering patterns or model bias could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the 10°C outcome reflects this model consensus and proximity to resolution, while lower-probability tails account for residual forecast uncertainty typical of variable Southern Hemisphere winter conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on August 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 16?
10°C 55%
11°C 23%
9°C 12%
8°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
5%
9°C
12%
10°C
55%
11°C
23%
12°C
3%
13°C
4%
14°C or higher
4%
10°C 55%
11°C 23%
9°C 12%
8°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
4°C or below
$206 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$60 Vol.
1%
7°C
$20 Vol.
3%
8°C
$64 Vol.
5%
9°C
$52 Vol.
12%
10°C
$105 Vol.
55%
11°C
$40 Vol.
23%
12°C
$37 Vol.
3%
13°C
$5 Vol.
4%
14°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a daily high near 10°C in Wellington on August 16, driven by southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air under a post-frontal regime. This aligns with typical mid-winter climatology (average August maxima around 12°C) but reflects a temporary dip below seasonal norms, with limited diurnal warming expected amid cloud cover and showers. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering between 9–11°C, though minor shifts in steering patterns or model bias could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the 10°C outcome reflects this model consensus and proximity to resolution, while lower-probability tails account for residual forecast uncertainty typical of variable Southern Hemisphere winter conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$800Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a daily high near 10°C in Wellington on August 16, driven by southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air under a post-frontal regime. This aligns with typical mid-winter climatology (average August maxima around 12°C) but reflects a temporary dip below seasonal norms, with limited diurnal warming expected amid cloud cover and showers. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering between 9–11°C, though minor shifts in steering patterns or model bias could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the 10°C outcome reflects this model consensus and proximity to resolution, while lower-probability tails account for residual forecast uncertainty typical of variable Southern Hemisphere winter conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$800Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a daily high near 10°C in Wellington on August 16, driven by southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air under a post-frontal regime. This aligns with typical mid-winter climatology (average August maxima around 12°C) but reflects a temporary dip below seasonal norms, with limited diurnal warming expected amid cloud cover and showers. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering between 9–11°C, though minor shifts in steering patterns or model bias could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the 10°C outcome reflects this model consensus and proximity to resolution, while lower-probability tails account for residual forecast uncertainty typical of variable Southern Hemisphere winter conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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