Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models positions a maximum near 14–15 °C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on 15 August, driven by a strengthening southerly airstream that limits daytime warming while keeping skies mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Typical mid-August climatology shows mean daily highs around 12–14 °C, and current model consensus aligns closely with this baseline rather than any significant warm anomaly. Key resolution thresholds center on the official MetService observation at Wellington Airport; any late shift in steering flow or cloud cover could nudge the peak by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily given the short time to resolution, with implied probabilities reflecting modest uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and shower timing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on August 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 15?
15°C 47%
14°C 35%
16°C 13%
13°C 5%
BAGO
$17,098 Vol.
BAGO
$17,098 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
35%
15°C
47%
16°C
13%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 47%
14°C 35%
16°C 13%
13°C 5%
BAGO
$17,098 Vol.
BAGO
$17,098 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
9°C or below
$1,154 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,663 Vol.
2%
13°C
$2,565 Vol.
5%
14°C
$5,211 Vol.
35%
15°C
$2,303 Vol.
47%
16°C
$1,646 Vol.
13%
17°C
$1,208 Vol.
3%
18°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$417 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models positions a maximum near 14–15 °C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on 15 August, driven by a strengthening southerly airstream that limits daytime warming while keeping skies mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Typical mid-August climatology shows mean daily highs around 12–14 °C, and current model consensus aligns closely with this baseline rather than any significant warm anomaly. Key resolution thresholds center on the official MetService observation at Wellington Airport; any late shift in steering flow or cloud cover could nudge the peak by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily given the short time to resolution, with implied probabilities reflecting modest uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and shower timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$17,098Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models positions a maximum near 14–15 °C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on 15 August, driven by a strengthening southerly airstream that limits daytime warming while keeping skies mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Typical mid-August climatology shows mean daily highs around 12–14 °C, and current model consensus aligns closely with this baseline rather than any significant warm anomaly. Key resolution thresholds center on the official MetService observation at Wellington Airport; any late shift in steering flow or cloud cover could nudge the peak by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily given the short time to resolution, with implied probabilities reflecting modest uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and shower timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,098Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models positions a maximum near 14–15 °C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on 15 August, driven by a strengthening southerly airstream that limits daytime warming while keeping skies mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Typical mid-August climatology shows mean daily highs around 12–14 °C, and current model consensus aligns closely with this baseline rather than any significant warm anomaly. Key resolution thresholds center on the official MetService observation at Wellington Airport; any late shift in steering flow or cloud cover could nudge the peak by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily given the short time to resolution, with implied probabilities reflecting modest uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and shower timing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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