Market-implied odds currently favor a 28–29°C high in Shanghai on August 14, reflecting trader consensus around ensemble forecast guidance showing moderation from seasonal norms. Typical August maxima near 32°C are tempered here by expected cloud cover, light rain, and a shift in steering patterns that limit daytime heating. Official model runs highlight high humidity and potential precipitation as key variables suppressing peak temperatures, consistent with recent daily trends showing highs in the upper 20s Celsius. Updated forecasts from monitoring agencies in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
29°C 43%
28°C 31%
30°C 9%
27°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
31%
29°C
43%
30°C
9%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 31%
30°C 9%
27°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
24°C or below
$146 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$184 Vol.
1%
26°C
$170 Vol.
1%
27°C
$228 Vol.
8%
28°C
$1,415 Vol.
31%
29°C
$2,065 Vol.
43%
30°C
$1,146 Vol.
9%
31°C
$479 Vol.
4%
32°C
$64 Vol.
2%
33°C
$12 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$586 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds currently favor a 28–29°C high in Shanghai on August 14, reflecting trader consensus around ensemble forecast guidance showing moderation from seasonal norms. Typical August maxima near 32°C are tempered here by expected cloud cover, light rain, and a shift in steering patterns that limit daytime heating. Official model runs highlight high humidity and potential precipitation as key variables suppressing peak temperatures, consistent with recent daily trends showing highs in the upper 20s Celsius. Updated forecasts from monitoring agencies in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$6,494Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds currently favor a 28–29°C high in Shanghai on August 14, reflecting trader consensus around ensemble forecast guidance showing moderation from seasonal norms. Typical August maxima near 32°C are tempered here by expected cloud cover, light rain, and a shift in steering patterns that limit daytime heating. Official model runs highlight high humidity and potential precipitation as key variables suppressing peak temperatures, consistent with recent daily trends showing highs in the upper 20s Celsius. Updated forecasts from monitoring agencies in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,494Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds currently favor a 28–29°C high in Shanghai on August 14, reflecting trader consensus around ensemble forecast guidance showing moderation from seasonal norms. Typical August maxima near 32°C are tempered here by expected cloud cover, light rain, and a shift in steering patterns that limit daytime heating. Official model runs highlight high humidity and potential precipitation as key variables suppressing peak temperatures, consistent with recent daily trends showing highs in the upper 20s Celsius. Updated forecasts from monitoring agencies in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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