Latest numerical weather prediction runs from major models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe will bring mostly clear to scattered-cloud conditions in Warsaw on August 14, supporting a daytime maximum near 26–27°C. This narrow range reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind speeds, and afternoon cloud development that could trim or boost peak readings by 1°C. Trader consensus aligns closely with these outputs, as historical August climatology for the city shows typical highs around 25°C with standard deviations of 2–3°C, and no major synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely tighten the probability distribution ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 14?
26°C 41%
27°C 35%
28°C 12%
24°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C
41%
27°C
35%
28°C
12%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
26°C 41%
27°C 35%
28°C 12%
24°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$1,716 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$551 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$174 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$237 Vol.
2%
24°C
$49 Vol.
8%
25°C
$102 Vol.
8%
26°C
$65 Vol.
41%
27°C
$28 Vol.
35%
28°C
$17 Vol.
12%
29°C
$36 Vol.
6%
30°C or higher
$10 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from major models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe will bring mostly clear to scattered-cloud conditions in Warsaw on August 14, supporting a daytime maximum near 26–27°C. This narrow range reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind speeds, and afternoon cloud development that could trim or boost peak readings by 1°C. Trader consensus aligns closely with these outputs, as historical August climatology for the city shows typical highs around 25°C with standard deviations of 2–3°C, and no major synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely tighten the probability distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,985Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from major models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe will bring mostly clear to scattered-cloud conditions in Warsaw on August 14, supporting a daytime maximum near 26–27°C. This narrow range reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind speeds, and afternoon cloud development that could trim or boost peak readings by 1°C. Trader consensus aligns closely with these outputs, as historical August climatology for the city shows typical highs around 25°C with standard deviations of 2–3°C, and no major synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely tighten the probability distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,985Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from major models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe will bring mostly clear to scattered-cloud conditions in Warsaw on August 14, supporting a daytime maximum near 26–27°C. This narrow range reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind speeds, and afternoon cloud development that could trim or boost peak readings by 1°C. Trader consensus aligns closely with these outputs, as historical August climatology for the city shows typical highs around 25°C with standard deviations of 2–3°C, and no major synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely tighten the probability distribution ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong