Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project a daily maximum near 26–27°C for Istanbul on August 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 25°C. Short-range model consensus reflects typical late-summer conditions under moderate high pressure, with limited diurnal heating and no strong warm advection expected. Historical August averages show highs around 27–28°C, but current runs indicate slightly cooler readings consistent with observed early-August patterns. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band of reliable 48–72-hour guidance against potential shifts from updated ECMWF or GFS runs, while resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature at the primary Istanbul station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 14?
26°C 53%
25°C 31%
27°C 29%
24°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
31%
26°C
53%
27°C
29%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 53%
25°C 31%
27°C 29%
24°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
$12 Vol.
2%
24°C
$22 Vol.
8%
25°C
$0 Vol.
31%
26°C
$14 Vol.
53%
27°C
$0 Vol.
29%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$5 Vol.
3%
30°C
$26 Vol.
1%
31°C
$12 Vol.
5%
32°C
$12 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project a daily maximum near 26–27°C for Istanbul on August 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 25°C. Short-range model consensus reflects typical late-summer conditions under moderate high pressure, with limited diurnal heating and no strong warm advection expected. Historical August averages show highs around 27–28°C, but current runs indicate slightly cooler readings consistent with observed early-August patterns. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band of reliable 48–72-hour guidance against potential shifts from updated ECMWF or GFS runs, while resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature at the primary Istanbul station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$115Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project a daily maximum near 26–27°C for Istanbul on August 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 25°C. Short-range model consensus reflects typical late-summer conditions under moderate high pressure, with limited diurnal heating and no strong warm advection expected. Historical August averages show highs around 27–28°C, but current runs indicate slightly cooler readings consistent with observed early-August patterns. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band of reliable 48–72-hour guidance against potential shifts from updated ECMWF or GFS runs, while resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature at the primary Istanbul station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$115Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project a daily maximum near 26–27°C for Istanbul on August 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 25°C. Short-range model consensus reflects typical late-summer conditions under moderate high pressure, with limited diurnal heating and no strong warm advection expected. Historical August averages show highs around 27–28°C, but current runs indicate slightly cooler readings consistent with observed early-August patterns. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band of reliable 48–72-hour guidance against potential shifts from updated ECMWF or GFS runs, while resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature at the primary Istanbul station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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