**Market-implied odds favor a peak of 30–31°C in London on August 12, 2026, reflecting current forecast consensus around 30°C.** High-pressure dominance across southern England has produced a settled, increasingly hot pattern, with light easterly winds and abundant sunshine maximizing daytime heating. Official guidance from the Met Office and BBC Weather both indicate a maximum of 30°C under clear or mostly sunny skies, consistent with the strongest probabilities. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the narrow clustering between 29–31°C as the most likely outcomes. This builds on a broader warm spell that has already delivered highs near or above 30°C earlier in the week, though no extreme heatwave criteria (such as sustained 28°C+ nights) have been met. Climatologically, August maxima average 22–25°C in London; the current setup represents a clear positive anomaly driven by subsidence and clear skies rather than anomalous sea-surface temperatures. Upcoming updates from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts on August 11 could refine boundary-layer details or introduce minor cloud variations that might shift the exact peak by 1°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in London on August 12?
Highest temperature in London on August 12?
30°C 37%
31°C 28%
29°C 22%
32°C 9.0%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
22%
30°C
37%
31°C
28%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 28%
29°C 22%
32°C 9.0%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$412 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$391 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$625 Vol.
1%
27°C
$262 Vol.
3%
28°C
$461 Vol.
6%
29°C
$1,519 Vol.
22%
30°C
$1,201 Vol.
37%
31°C
$1,192 Vol.
28%
32°C
$642 Vol.
9%
33°C
$273 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$382 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a peak of 30–31°C in London on August 12, 2026, reflecting current forecast consensus around 30°C.** High-pressure dominance across southern England has produced a settled, increasingly hot pattern, with light easterly winds and abundant sunshine maximizing daytime heating. Official guidance from the Met Office and BBC Weather both indicate a maximum of 30°C under clear or mostly sunny skies, consistent with the strongest probabilities.
Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the narrow clustering between 29–31°C as the most likely outcomes. This builds on a broader warm spell that has already delivered highs near or above 30°C earlier in the week, though no extreme heatwave criteria (such as sustained 28°C+ nights) have been met. Climatologically, August maxima average 22–25°C in London; the current setup represents a clear positive anomaly driven by subsidence and clear skies rather than anomalous sea-surface temperatures.
Upcoming updates from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts on August 11 could refine boundary-layer details or introduce minor cloud variations that might shift the exact peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,361Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a peak of 30–31°C in London on August 12, 2026, reflecting current forecast consensus around 30°C.** High-pressure dominance across southern England has produced a settled, increasingly hot pattern, with light easterly winds and abundant sunshine maximizing daytime heating. Official guidance from the Met Office and BBC Weather both indicate a maximum of 30°C under clear or mostly sunny skies, consistent with the strongest probabilities.
Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the narrow clustering between 29–31°C as the most likely outcomes. This builds on a broader warm spell that has already delivered highs near or above 30°C earlier in the week, though no extreme heatwave criteria (such as sustained 28°C+ nights) have been met. Climatologically, August maxima average 22–25°C in London; the current setup represents a clear positive anomaly driven by subsidence and clear skies rather than anomalous sea-surface temperatures.
Upcoming updates from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts on August 11 could refine boundary-layer details or introduce minor cloud variations that might shift the exact peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,361Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a peak of 30–31°C in London on August 12, 2026, reflecting current forecast consensus around 30°C.** High-pressure dominance across southern England has produced a settled, increasingly hot pattern, with light easterly winds and abundant sunshine maximizing daytime heating. Official guidance from the Met Office and BBC Weather both indicate a maximum of 30°C under clear or mostly sunny skies, consistent with the strongest probabilities. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the narrow clustering between 29–31°C as the most likely outcomes. This builds on a broader warm spell that has already delivered highs near or above 30°C earlier in the week, though no extreme heatwave criteria (such as sustained 28°C+ nights) have been met. Climatologically, August maxima average 22–25°C in London; the current setup represents a clear positive anomaly driven by subsidence and clear skies rather than anomalous sea-surface temperatures. Upcoming updates from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts on August 11 could refine boundary-layer details or introduce minor cloud variations that might shift the exact peak by 1°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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