Short-term numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a likely daily maximum of 34–36°C on August 10 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with near-equal market probabilities for 34°C and 35°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover, convective rainfall timing, and steering flow. Seasonal outlooks already favor normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends, while recent model runs show modest disagreement on intensification of daytime heating versus localized showers that could cap the peak. Resolution hinges on the official HKO station reading, where small shifts in humidity or wind could differentiate these tightly matched outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
35°C 37%
34°C 36%
36°C 14%
33°C 8%
BAGO
$24,866 Vol.
BAGO
$24,866 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
8%
34°C
36%
35°C
37%
36°C
14%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 37%
34°C 36%
36°C 14%
33°C 8%
BAGO
$24,866 Vol.
BAGO
$24,866 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
29°C or below
$764 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,159 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,424 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,574 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,644 Vol.
8%
34°C
$2,231 Vol.
36%
35°C
$2,369 Vol.
37%
36°C
$1,844 Vol.
14%
37°C
$5,146 Vol.
4%
38°C
$5,495 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$1,218 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a likely daily maximum of 34–36°C on August 10 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with near-equal market probabilities for 34°C and 35°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover, convective rainfall timing, and steering flow. Seasonal outlooks already favor normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends, while recent model runs show modest disagreement on intensification of daytime heating versus localized showers that could cap the peak. Resolution hinges on the official HKO station reading, where small shifts in humidity or wind could differentiate these tightly matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$24,866Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a likely daily maximum of 34–36°C on August 10 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with near-equal market probabilities for 34°C and 35°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover, convective rainfall timing, and steering flow. Seasonal outlooks already favor normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends, while recent model runs show modest disagreement on intensification of daytime heating versus localized showers that could cap the peak. Resolution hinges on the official HKO station reading, where small shifts in humidity or wind could differentiate these tightly matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,866Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a likely daily maximum of 34–36°C on August 10 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with near-equal market probabilities for 34°C and 35°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover, convective rainfall timing, and steering flow. Seasonal outlooks already favor normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends, while recent model runs show modest disagreement on intensification of daytime heating versus localized showers that could cap the peak. Resolution hinges on the official HKO station reading, where small shifts in humidity or wind could differentiate these tightly matched outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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