Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model runs point to typical late-summer Pacific high influence over northern Taiwan, favoring daytime maxima near 32–34 °C in Taipei on August 9, yet increased moisture ahead of Typhoon Dolphin is expected to boost afternoon cloud cover and shower chances. These factors compress the diurnal range and introduce modest cooling, which explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33 °C rather than higher extremes. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 32–34 °C with occasional 36 °C peaks under clearer skies; any earlier or heavier rainfall on the 9th would favor the lower side of that distribution. Updated CWA and ECMWF runs expected within 24–48 hours will be the key data releases likely to shift the narrow odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Taipei on August 9?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 9?
32°C 27%
31°C 21%
33°C 17%
30°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 9, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
14%
31°C
21%
32°C
27%
33°C
17%
34°C
9%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 27%
31°C 21%
33°C 17%
30°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 9, 2026
26°C or below
$1,044 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,378 Vol.
1%
28°C
$431 Vol.
2%
29°C
$761 Vol.
10%
30°C
$554 Vol.
14%
31°C
$247 Vol.
21%
32°C
$445 Vol.
27%
33°C
$282 Vol.
17%
34°C
$1,179 Vol.
9%
35°C
$537 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$238 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model runs point to typical late-summer Pacific high influence over northern Taiwan, favoring daytime maxima near 32–34 °C in Taipei on August 9, yet increased moisture ahead of Typhoon Dolphin is expected to boost afternoon cloud cover and shower chances. These factors compress the diurnal range and introduce modest cooling, which explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33 °C rather than higher extremes. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 32–34 °C with occasional 36 °C peaks under clearer skies; any earlier or heavier rainfall on the 9th would favor the lower side of that distribution. Updated CWA and ECMWF runs expected within 24–48 hours will be the key data releases likely to shift the narrow odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,096Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model runs point to typical late-summer Pacific high influence over northern Taiwan, favoring daytime maxima near 32–34 °C in Taipei on August 9, yet increased moisture ahead of Typhoon Dolphin is expected to boost afternoon cloud cover and shower chances. These factors compress the diurnal range and introduce modest cooling, which explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33 °C rather than higher extremes. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 32–34 °C with occasional 36 °C peaks under clearer skies; any earlier or heavier rainfall on the 9th would favor the lower side of that distribution. Updated CWA and ECMWF runs expected within 24–48 hours will be the key data releases likely to shift the narrow odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,096Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model runs point to typical late-summer Pacific high influence over northern Taiwan, favoring daytime maxima near 32–34 °C in Taipei on August 9, yet increased moisture ahead of Typhoon Dolphin is expected to boost afternoon cloud cover and shower chances. These factors compress the diurnal range and introduce modest cooling, which explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33 °C rather than higher extremes. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 32–34 °C with occasional 36 °C peaks under clearer skies; any earlier or heavier rainfall on the 9th would favor the lower side of that distribution. Updated CWA and ECMWF runs expected within 24–48 hours will be the key data releases likely to shift the narrow odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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