Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over northern France will limit nocturnal radiative cooling on August 8–9, supporting overnight lows near 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 17°C as the modal outcome, reflecting model agreement on minimum temperatures amid an ongoing summer pattern rather than a sharp cold front. Historical August minima in Paris average 15–16°C, but current high-pressure dominance and residual heat from prior days reduce the chance of sub-16°C readings while capping upside from excessive daytime heating. New model runs expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if wind or cloud cover changes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on August 9?
17°C 29%
18°C 25%
16°C 20%
19°C 12%
14°C or below
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
20%
17°C
29%
18°C
25%
19°C
12%
20°C
6%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 29%
18°C 25%
16°C 20%
19°C 12%
14°C or below
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
20%
17°C
29%
18°C
25%
19°C
12%
20°C
6%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over northern France will limit nocturnal radiative cooling on August 8–9, supporting overnight lows near 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 17°C as the modal outcome, reflecting model agreement on minimum temperatures amid an ongoing summer pattern rather than a sharp cold front. Historical August minima in Paris average 15–16°C, but current high-pressure dominance and residual heat from prior days reduce the chance of sub-16°C readings while capping upside from excessive daytime heating. New model runs expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if wind or cloud cover changes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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