Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate clear to partly cloudy conditions over Paris on August 8, 2026, with light winds and limited overnight cloud cover that favors radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–33°C. These patterns support minimum temperatures clustering around 14–15°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes and typical early-August climatology of 14–16°C lows. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest disagreement on exact cooling rates tied to boundary-layer humidity and any residual urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs in the past 48 hours have shown little shift, reinforcing trader consensus around the 13–15°C band while assigning negligible probability to extremes below 12°C or above 18°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on August 8?
14°C 47%
15°C 26%
13°C 18%
16°C 11%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
29%
14°C
55%
15°C
30%
16°C
11%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 47%
15°C 26%
13°C 18%
16°C 11%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
29%
14°C
55%
15°C
30%
16°C
11%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate clear to partly cloudy conditions over Paris on August 8, 2026, with light winds and limited overnight cloud cover that favors radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–33°C. These patterns support minimum temperatures clustering around 14–15°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes and typical early-August climatology of 14–16°C lows. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest disagreement on exact cooling rates tied to boundary-layer humidity and any residual urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs in the past 48 hours have shown little shift, reinforcing trader consensus around the 13–15°C band while assigning negligible probability to extremes below 12°C or above 18°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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