**Current forecasts place Tokyo's August 7 maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 33°C (33.5%) and 34°C (30.5%).** The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest guidance and extended AccuWeather outlooks indicate typical early-August conditions under a subtropical high, with daytime peaks around the 31.8°C climatological normal. Small differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze strength, and urban heat-island amplification, which can add 1–2°C in central districts. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave heating, keeping resolution sensitive to final observational data from the Tokyo station. Traders are weighting the narrow historical range where 32–34°C occurs most frequently in early August.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 7?
33°C 34%
34°C 31%
32°C 20%
35°C 9%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
20%
33°C
34%
34°C
31%
35°C
9%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 34%
34°C 31%
32°C 20%
35°C 9%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
20%
33°C
34%
34°C
31%
35°C
9%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts place Tokyo's August 7 maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 33°C (33.5%) and 34°C (30.5%).** The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest guidance and extended AccuWeather outlooks indicate typical early-August conditions under a subtropical high, with daytime peaks around the 31.8°C climatological normal. Small differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze strength, and urban heat-island amplification, which can add 1–2°C in central districts. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave heating, keeping resolution sensitive to final observational data from the Tokyo station. Traders are weighting the narrow historical range where 32–34°C occurs most frequently in early August.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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