**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's August 7 minimum temperature centers on 27°C and 28°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting current forecast consensus for typical subtropical summer conditions.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical models indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with seasonal averages near 26–28°C. High humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling—exacerbated by urban heat retention and possible cloud cover—support these values over cooler readings. Normal-to-above-normal temperatures expected for August–October 2026, driven by background warming trends, further anchor probabilities here. Recent model runs show no significant cold surges or typhoon influences that would depress minima below 26°C or push them to 29°C+, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the observed leading outcomes. Updated local forecasts and any last-minute changes in cloud or rainfall patterns remain key near-term variables.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
27°C 45%
28°C 33%
26°C 12%
29°C 10%
$17,123 Vol.
$17,123 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
12%
27°C
45%
28°C
33%
29°C
10%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 33%
26°C 12%
29°C 10%
$17,123 Vol.
$17,123 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
12%
27°C
45%
28°C
33%
29°C
10%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's August 7 minimum temperature centers on 27°C and 28°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting current forecast consensus for typical subtropical summer conditions.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical models indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with seasonal averages near 26–28°C. High humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling—exacerbated by urban heat retention and possible cloud cover—support these values over cooler readings. Normal-to-above-normal temperatures expected for August–October 2026, driven by background warming trends, further anchor probabilities here. Recent model runs show no significant cold surges or typhoon influences that would depress minima below 26°C or push them to 29°C+, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the observed leading outcomes. Updated local forecasts and any last-minute changes in cloud or rainfall patterns remain key near-term variables.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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