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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?

Aug 7

Aug 8

Aug 9

Aug 10

Aug 7

Aug 8

Aug 9

Aug 10

28°C 98%

26°C 1.1%

27°C 1.0%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$81,339 Vol.

28°C 98%

26°C 1.1%

27°C 1.0%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$81,339 Vol.

22°C or below

$598 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$1,214 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$4,140 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$6,272 Vol.

1%

26°C

$4,587 Vol.

1%

27°C

$12,236 Vol.

1%

28°C

$21,819 Vol.

98%

29°C

$23,530 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$5,364 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$938 Vol.

<1%

32°C or higher

$641 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Typical summer climatology and current forecast guidance strongly support trader consensus around a daily minimum of 28°C for Hong Kong on August 8, 2026.** Hong Kong’s August overnight lows normally range 26–28°C amid persistent high humidity and weak synoptic gradients, with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures through the period. Model consensus and recent observational trends show no significant cooling mechanisms—such as a strong northeasterly surge or organized convection—expected to drive the minimum below this threshold. The 97.5% market-implied probability reflects this narrow historical and forecast distribution, where deviations to 26–27°C remain possible but statistically uncommon without an unforecasted atmospheric shift. Resolution hinges on official Hong Kong Observatory measurements; only an atypical nocturnal radiative cooling episode or localized shower-induced drop would realistically alter the outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$81,339
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Typical summer climatology and current forecast guidance strongly support trader consensus around a daily minimum of 28°C for Hong Kong on August 8, 2026.** Hong Kong’s August overnight lows normally range 26–28°C amid persistent high humidity and weak synoptic gradients, with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures through the period. Model consensus and recent observational trends show no significant cooling mechanisms—such as a strong northeasterly surge or organized convection—expected to drive the minimum below this threshold. The 97.5% market-implied probability reflects this narrow historical and forecast distribution, where deviations to 26–27°C remain possible but statistically uncommon without an unforecasted atmospheric shift. Resolution hinges on official Hong Kong Observatory measurements; only an atypical nocturnal radiative cooling episode or localized shower-induced drop would realistically alter the outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$81,339
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "28°C" sa 98%, sinusundan ng "25°C" sa 1%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 98¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?" ay naka-generate ng $81.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 6, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?" ay "28°C" sa 98%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "25°C" sa 1%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.