Wellington's August temperatures are shaped by its coastal position in a temperate maritime climate, where sea surface temperatures near 12–14°C provide moderation, while frequent strong winds—especially northerlies versus southerlies—drive day-to-day variability through advection of warmer subtropical or cooler subantarctic air masses. With the market split nearly evenly between 13°C and 14°C, traders are weighing subtle forecast differences in wind direction, cloud cover, and frontal timing for August 8, as these can shift maximums by 1°C amid typical winter variability around the 12–14°C climatological average. NIWA's seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions for the Wellington region, with recent model guidance and historical analogs supporting limited warming potential absent a strong northerly flow or clear skies. Upcoming MetService and international model runs will refine these inputs ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on August 8?
14°C 52%
13°C 43%
15°C 5%
12°C 3%
$23,046 Vol.
$23,046 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
43%
14°C
52%
15°C
5%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
14°C 52%
13°C 43%
15°C 5%
12°C 3%
$23,046 Vol.
$23,046 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
43%
14°C
52%
15°C
5%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's August temperatures are shaped by its coastal position in a temperate maritime climate, where sea surface temperatures near 12–14°C provide moderation, while frequent strong winds—especially northerlies versus southerlies—drive day-to-day variability through advection of warmer subtropical or cooler subantarctic air masses. With the market split nearly evenly between 13°C and 14°C, traders are weighing subtle forecast differences in wind direction, cloud cover, and frontal timing for August 8, as these can shift maximums by 1°C amid typical winter variability around the 12–14°C climatological average. NIWA's seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions for the Wellington region, with recent model guidance and historical analogs supporting limited warming potential absent a strong northerly flow or clear skies. Upcoming MetService and international model runs will refine these inputs ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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