Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and models indicate a daytime high of 28–31°C in Taipei on August 8 amid cloudy skies and scattered showers, yet trader consensus favors 32°C or higher at 52% implied probability due to historical August averages near 32–34°C and the urban heat island effect. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and potential for afternoon clearing, support temperatures at or above this threshold, while afternoon convection could suppress peaks closer to 31°C (29%). With resolution hinging on official station readings, upcoming model updates and real-time observations will refine these skin-in-the-game probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Taipei on August 8?
32°C or higher 53%
31°C 28%
30°C 16%
29°C 7%
$48,859 Vol.
$48,859 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
16%
31°C
28%
32°C or higher
53%
32°C or higher 53%
31°C 28%
30°C 16%
29°C 7%
$48,859 Vol.
$48,859 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
16%
31°C
28%
32°C or higher
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and models indicate a daytime high of 28–31°C in Taipei on August 8 amid cloudy skies and scattered showers, yet trader consensus favors 32°C or higher at 52% implied probability due to historical August averages near 32–34°C and the urban heat island effect. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and potential for afternoon clearing, support temperatures at or above this threshold, while afternoon convection could suppress peaks closer to 31°C (29%). With resolution hinging on official station readings, upcoming model updates and real-time observations will refine these skin-in-the-game probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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