**Trader sentiment for Tokyo's August 10 minimum temperature centers on 24°C (47.0%) and 25°C (30.5%), reflecting forecasts of typical midsummer nighttime conditions.** Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks and short-range models indicate above-normal temperatures overall for August 2026, with Tokyo's urban heat island and high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight. Specific guidance for August 10 points to cloudy skies with scattered showers, producing forecast lows near 24°C—consistent with historical August averages of 24–25°C. Cloud cover and any precipitation reduce the potential for cooler readings below 23°C, while the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear, dry nights keeps probabilities for 26°C or higher modest. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings in the coming days will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 10?
24°C 48%
25°C 31%
23°C 11%
26°C 9%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
11%
24°C
48%
25°C
31%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 48%
25°C 31%
23°C 11%
26°C 9%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
11%
24°C
48%
25°C
31%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Tokyo's August 10 minimum temperature centers on 24°C (47.0%) and 25°C (30.5%), reflecting forecasts of typical midsummer nighttime conditions.** Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks and short-range models indicate above-normal temperatures overall for August 2026, with Tokyo's urban heat island and high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight. Specific guidance for August 10 points to cloudy skies with scattered showers, producing forecast lows near 24°C—consistent with historical August averages of 24–25°C. Cloud cover and any precipitation reduce the potential for cooler readings below 23°C, while the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear, dry nights keeps probabilities for 26°C or higher modest. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings in the coming days will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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