Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance positions maximum temperatures of 30–32°C as the leading outcomes for Paris on August 8, driven by strengthening high pressure, abundant sunshine, and light winds that enhance daytime heating. Numerical forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather converge on highs near 31°C, consistent with the 43.5% market-implied probability for that threshold, while lower probabilities for 29°C or 33°C+ reflect residual model spread and potential for brief afternoon cloud development. Following earlier heatwave conditions in June and variable July patterns, current steering flows favor this moderate warming without extreme advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine exact peak values ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on August 8?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 8?
31°C 44%
30°C 31%
32°C 20%
29°C 4%
BAGO
$18,855 Vol.
BAGO
$18,855 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
31%
31°C
44%
32°C
20%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 31%
32°C 20%
29°C 4%
BAGO
$18,855 Vol.
BAGO
$18,855 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
$545 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$730 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$798 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$757 Vol.
2%
29°C
$3,279 Vol.
4%
30°C
$4,227 Vol.
31%
31°C
$1,171 Vol.
44%
32°C
$4,870 Vol.
20%
33°C
$1,036 Vol.
3%
34°C
$620 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$822 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance positions maximum temperatures of 30–32°C as the leading outcomes for Paris on August 8, driven by strengthening high pressure, abundant sunshine, and light winds that enhance daytime heating. Numerical forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather converge on highs near 31°C, consistent with the 43.5% market-implied probability for that threshold, while lower probabilities for 29°C or 33°C+ reflect residual model spread and potential for brief afternoon cloud development. Following earlier heatwave conditions in June and variable July patterns, current steering flows favor this moderate warming without extreme advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine exact peak values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$18,855Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance positions maximum temperatures of 30–32°C as the leading outcomes for Paris on August 8, driven by strengthening high pressure, abundant sunshine, and light winds that enhance daytime heating. Numerical forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather converge on highs near 31°C, consistent with the 43.5% market-implied probability for that threshold, while lower probabilities for 29°C or 33°C+ reflect residual model spread and potential for brief afternoon cloud development. Following earlier heatwave conditions in June and variable July patterns, current steering flows favor this moderate warming without extreme advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine exact peak values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,855Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance positions maximum temperatures of 30–32°C as the leading outcomes for Paris on August 8, driven by strengthening high pressure, abundant sunshine, and light winds that enhance daytime heating. Numerical forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather converge on highs near 31°C, consistent with the 43.5% market-implied probability for that threshold, while lower probabilities for 29°C or 33°C+ reflect residual model spread and potential for brief afternoon cloud development. Following earlier heatwave conditions in June and variable July patterns, current steering flows favor this moderate warming without extreme advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine exact peak values ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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