Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate Shenzhen will experience typical early-August subtropical conditions on the 8th, with daytime maxima shaped by moderate insolation, partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. Trader consensus clusters around 35–37 °C because historical baselines near 31–33 °C can shift several degrees higher under reduced cloud cover or weaker monsoon influences, while urban heat-island effects in the densely built city amplify observed maxima at official stations. Uncertainties in exact timing of afternoon convection and model spread on boundary-layer moisture keep probabilities split between adjacent brackets rather than converging on a single outcome. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 8?
36°C 34%
37°C 28%
35°C 22%
34°C 9%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
9%
35°C
22%
36°C
34%
37°C
28%
38°C
6%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 34%
37°C 28%
35°C 22%
34°C 9%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
9%
35°C
22%
36°C
34%
37°C
28%
38°C
6%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate Shenzhen will experience typical early-August subtropical conditions on the 8th, with daytime maxima shaped by moderate insolation, partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. Trader consensus clusters around 35–37 °C because historical baselines near 31–33 °C can shift several degrees higher under reduced cloud cover or weaker monsoon influences, while urban heat-island effects in the densely built city amplify observed maxima at official stations. Uncertainties in exact timing of afternoon convection and model spread on boundary-layer moisture keep probabilities split between adjacent brackets rather than converging on a single outcome. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong