Recent forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and timeanddate models indicate Madrid will reach a high near 38°C on August 8 under clear, sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high-pressure systems and above-average seasonal warmth—driven by typical summer subsidence and low humidity—have kept daily maxima in the 37–39°C range over recent days, shifting trader consensus away from the 34°C historical average. Model consensus supports minimal deviation tomorrow, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat island effects could nudge the peak into the 37°C or 39°C bins, which hold 24.5% and 19.5% odds respectively. Updated runs from official meteorological services will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on August 8?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 8?
38°C 56%
37°C 24%
39°C 20%
40°C <1%
BAGO
$27,469 Vol.
BAGO
$27,469 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
24%
38°C
56%
39°C
20%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
38°C 56%
37°C 24%
39°C 20%
40°C <1%
BAGO
$27,469 Vol.
BAGO
$27,469 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
34°C or below
$775 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,565 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,269 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$6,438 Vol.
24%
38°C
$5,372 Vol.
56%
39°C
$6,611 Vol.
20%
40°C
$2,298 Vol.
1%
41°C
$521 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$650 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$427 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$542 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and timeanddate models indicate Madrid will reach a high near 38°C on August 8 under clear, sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high-pressure systems and above-average seasonal warmth—driven by typical summer subsidence and low humidity—have kept daily maxima in the 37–39°C range over recent days, shifting trader consensus away from the 34°C historical average. Model consensus supports minimal deviation tomorrow, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat island effects could nudge the peak into the 37°C or 39°C bins, which hold 24.5% and 19.5% odds respectively. Updated runs from official meteorological services will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$27,469Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and timeanddate models indicate Madrid will reach a high near 38°C on August 8 under clear, sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high-pressure systems and above-average seasonal warmth—driven by typical summer subsidence and low humidity—have kept daily maxima in the 37–39°C range over recent days, shifting trader consensus away from the 34°C historical average. Model consensus supports minimal deviation tomorrow, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat island effects could nudge the peak into the 37°C or 39°C bins, which hold 24.5% and 19.5% odds respectively. Updated runs from official meteorological services will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,469Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and timeanddate models indicate Madrid will reach a high near 38°C on August 8 under clear, sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high-pressure systems and above-average seasonal warmth—driven by typical summer subsidence and low humidity—have kept daily maxima in the 37–39°C range over recent days, shifting trader consensus away from the 34°C historical average. Model consensus supports minimal deviation tomorrow, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat island effects could nudge the peak into the 37°C or 39°C bins, which hold 24.5% and 19.5% odds respectively. Updated runs from official meteorological services will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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