Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by El Niño-driven above-normal temperatures through August 2026, underpin trader consensus around a 34–36°C peak for Seoul (Incheon) on August 6. Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations show recent daily highs near 32–34°C amid heat alerts, while short-range models favor clear skies and light winds that support afternoon maxima in the mid-30s. Urban heat-island effects and minor model spread on steering patterns create narrow uncertainty between the leading 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Updated KMA guidance and next model runs over the next 12–24 hours will further refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
35°C 36%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
37°C or higher 11.5%
BAGO
$10,483 Vol.
BAGO
$10,483 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
7%
34°C
28%
35°C
36%
36°C
22%
37°C or higher
12%
35°C 36%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
37°C or higher 11.5%
BAGO
$10,483 Vol.
BAGO
$10,483 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$664 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$450 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$471 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$351 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$703 Vol.
1%
32°C
$673 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,210 Vol.
7%
34°C
$2,371 Vol.
28%
35°C
$1,763 Vol.
36%
36°C
$767 Vol.
22%
37°C or higher
$1,058 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by El Niño-driven above-normal temperatures through August 2026, underpin trader consensus around a 34–36°C peak for Seoul (Incheon) on August 6. Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations show recent daily highs near 32–34°C amid heat alerts, while short-range models favor clear skies and light winds that support afternoon maxima in the mid-30s. Urban heat-island effects and minor model spread on steering patterns create narrow uncertainty between the leading 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Updated KMA guidance and next model runs over the next 12–24 hours will further refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$10,483Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by El Niño-driven above-normal temperatures through August 2026, underpin trader consensus around a 34–36°C peak for Seoul (Incheon) on August 6. Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations show recent daily highs near 32–34°C amid heat alerts, while short-range models favor clear skies and light winds that support afternoon maxima in the mid-30s. Urban heat-island effects and minor model spread on steering patterns create narrow uncertainty between the leading 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Updated KMA guidance and next model runs over the next 12–24 hours will further refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,483Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by El Niño-driven above-normal temperatures through August 2026, underpin trader consensus around a 34–36°C peak for Seoul (Incheon) on August 6. Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations show recent daily highs near 32–34°C amid heat alerts, while short-range models favor clear skies and light winds that support afternoon maxima in the mid-30s. Urban heat-island effects and minor model spread on steering patterns create narrow uncertainty between the leading 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Updated KMA guidance and next model runs over the next 12–24 hours will further refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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