Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and timeanddate project daytime highs near 27–29 °C for São Paulo on August 6, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. An ongoing El Niño episode is elevating regional temperatures 0.4–1 °C above the August climatological mean of 23–25 °C, while light winds and broken cloud cover limit daytime mixing and allow greater solar heating. Recent extended-range guidance shows little model spread for this date, supporting the current 36.5 % implied probability on 27 °C as the consensus outcome, though any late adjustment in steering flow or increased moisture could shift the peak by a degree.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 6?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 6?
27°C 37%
28°C 24%
29°C 18%
26°C 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
17%
27°C
37%
28°C
24%
29°C
18%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
28°C 24%
29°C 18%
26°C 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
$201 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$196 Vol.
1%
23°C
$51 Vol.
1%
24°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$128 Vol.
2%
26°C
$307 Vol.
17%
27°C
$1,818 Vol.
37%
28°C
$247 Vol.
24%
29°C
$371 Vol.
18%
30°C
$555 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$63 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and timeanddate project daytime highs near 27–29 °C for São Paulo on August 6, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. An ongoing El Niño episode is elevating regional temperatures 0.4–1 °C above the August climatological mean of 23–25 °C, while light winds and broken cloud cover limit daytime mixing and allow greater solar heating. Recent extended-range guidance shows little model spread for this date, supporting the current 36.5 % implied probability on 27 °C as the consensus outcome, though any late adjustment in steering flow or increased moisture could shift the peak by a degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$3,846Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and timeanddate project daytime highs near 27–29 °C for São Paulo on August 6, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. An ongoing El Niño episode is elevating regional temperatures 0.4–1 °C above the August climatological mean of 23–25 °C, while light winds and broken cloud cover limit daytime mixing and allow greater solar heating. Recent extended-range guidance shows little model spread for this date, supporting the current 36.5 % implied probability on 27 °C as the consensus outcome, though any late adjustment in steering flow or increased moisture could shift the peak by a degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,846Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and timeanddate project daytime highs near 27–29 °C for São Paulo on August 6, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. An ongoing El Niño episode is elevating regional temperatures 0.4–1 °C above the August climatological mean of 23–25 °C, while light winds and broken cloud cover limit daytime mixing and allow greater solar heating. Recent extended-range guidance shows little model spread for this date, supporting the current 36.5 % implied probability on 27 °C as the consensus outcome, though any late adjustment in steering flow or increased moisture could shift the peak by a degree.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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