Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Moscow may reach a daily maximum near 32°C on August 7 amid a warm air mass, with scattered late-day thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover likely capping peak readings. These conditions create tight clustering around 29–32°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in timing of convection, boundary-layer moisture, or shortwave ridging could easily push the observed high across the 30–31°C threshold. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical highs near 23–24°C, making the current anomaly notable yet within the spread of ensemble guidance. Traders are therefore weighting the latest model runs and any updates from Russian meteorological services ahead of the day’s maximum temperature observation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on August 7?
31°C 29%
29°C 24%
30°C 24%
32°C 19%
28°C or below
6%
29°C
24%
30°C
24%
31°C
29%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 29%
29°C 24%
30°C 24%
32°C 19%
28°C or below
6%
29°C
24%
30°C
24%
31°C
29%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Moscow may reach a daily maximum near 32°C on August 7 amid a warm air mass, with scattered late-day thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover likely capping peak readings. These conditions create tight clustering around 29–32°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in timing of convection, boundary-layer moisture, or shortwave ridging could easily push the observed high across the 30–31°C threshold. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical highs near 23–24°C, making the current anomaly notable yet within the spread of ensemble guidance. Traders are therefore weighting the latest model runs and any updates from Russian meteorological services ahead of the day’s maximum temperature observation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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