Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and private forecasters show lingering uncertainty in peak heating for New York City on August 5, with guidance split between 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F. Afternoon convective development, steered by a weak mid-level trough and modest southerly flow, could limit insolation and cap the high near the monthly climatological average of 83 °F. Clearer skies or delayed storm initiation would allow greater surface heating and push readings into the mid-80s, while earlier or stronger thunderstorms would favor the lower end of the range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread in guidance and the limited time remaining before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on August 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 5?
84-85°F 43%
82-83°F 38%
80-81°F 12%
86-87°F 11%
BAGO
$44,423 Vol.
BAGO
$44,423 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
43%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 43%
82-83°F 38%
80-81°F 12%
86-87°F 11%
BAGO
$44,423 Vol.
BAGO
$44,423 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
71°F or below
$9,455 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$265 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$986 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,539 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$3,741 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$4,783 Vol.
12%
82-83°F
$8,172 Vol.
38%
84-85°F
$6,930 Vol.
43%
86-87°F
$3,861 Vol.
11%
88-89°F
$1,539 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$2,152 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and private forecasters show lingering uncertainty in peak heating for New York City on August 5, with guidance split between 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F. Afternoon convective development, steered by a weak mid-level trough and modest southerly flow, could limit insolation and cap the high near the monthly climatological average of 83 °F. Clearer skies or delayed storm initiation would allow greater surface heating and push readings into the mid-80s, while earlier or stronger thunderstorms would favor the lower end of the range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread in guidance and the limited time remaining before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$44,423Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and private forecasters show lingering uncertainty in peak heating for New York City on August 5, with guidance split between 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F. Afternoon convective development, steered by a weak mid-level trough and modest southerly flow, could limit insolation and cap the high near the monthly climatological average of 83 °F. Clearer skies or delayed storm initiation would allow greater surface heating and push readings into the mid-80s, while earlier or stronger thunderstorms would favor the lower end of the range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread in guidance and the limited time remaining before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,423Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and private forecasters show lingering uncertainty in peak heating for New York City on August 5, with guidance split between 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F. Afternoon convective development, steered by a weak mid-level trough and modest southerly flow, could limit insolation and cap the high near the monthly climatological average of 83 °F. Clearer skies or delayed storm initiation would allow greater surface heating and push readings into the mid-80s, while earlier or stronger thunderstorms would favor the lower end of the range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread in guidance and the limited time remaining before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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