Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near or slightly above the August climatological normal of 83°F at Central Park, with the market’s tight clustering around 86–91°F bins reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any scattered convection. Southerly flow ahead of a weak front could enhance mixing and push readings into the upper 80s or low 90s if skies remain partly sunny, while increased humidity and early thunderstorm development would cap the maximum closer to 86–87°F. These short-term variables create the narrow probability spread among the top three outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on August 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 6?
88-89°F 41%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 26%
92-93°F 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
41%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 41%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 26%
92-93°F 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
$133 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$220 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$25 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$43 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$23 Vol.
26%
88-89°F
$214 Vol.
41%
90-91°F
$175 Vol.
28%
92-93°F
$118 Vol.
5%
94-95°F
$347 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$226 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$192 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near or slightly above the August climatological normal of 83°F at Central Park, with the market’s tight clustering around 86–91°F bins reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any scattered convection. Southerly flow ahead of a weak front could enhance mixing and push readings into the upper 80s or low 90s if skies remain partly sunny, while increased humidity and early thunderstorm development would cap the maximum closer to 86–87°F. These short-term variables create the narrow probability spread among the top three outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,714Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near or slightly above the August climatological normal of 83°F at Central Park, with the market’s tight clustering around 86–91°F bins reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any scattered convection. Southerly flow ahead of a weak front could enhance mixing and push readings into the upper 80s or low 90s if skies remain partly sunny, while increased humidity and early thunderstorm development would cap the maximum closer to 86–87°F. These short-term variables create the narrow probability spread among the top three outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,714Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near or slightly above the August climatological normal of 83°F at Central Park, with the market’s tight clustering around 86–91°F bins reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any scattered convection. Southerly flow ahead of a weak front could enhance mixing and push readings into the upper 80s or low 90s if skies remain partly sunny, while increased humidity and early thunderstorm development would cap the maximum closer to 86–87°F. These short-term variables create the narrow probability spread among the top three outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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