Recent JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts for Tokyo point to a daily minimum near 26–27°C on August 7, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 24–25°C, yet current model runs favor slightly warmer readings owing to increased cloud cover and the urban heat-island effect. With 27°C and 26°C each commanding roughly 50 % implied probability and lower thresholds receiving sharply reduced odds, traders are reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes and the limited time left for significant model shifts before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 7?
27°C 50%
26°C 37%
28°C 9%
29°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C
37%
27°C
50%
28°C
9%
29°C
9%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 50%
26°C 37%
28°C 9%
29°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
$53 Vol.
1%
23°C
$63 Vol.
5%
24°C
$7 Vol.
8%
25°C
$7 Vol.
8%
26°C
$32 Vol.
37%
27°C
$7 Vol.
50%
28°C
$7 Vol.
9%
29°C
$7 Vol.
9%
30°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$53 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$17 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts for Tokyo point to a daily minimum near 26–27°C on August 7, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 24–25°C, yet current model runs favor slightly warmer readings owing to increased cloud cover and the urban heat-island effect. With 27°C and 26°C each commanding roughly 50 % implied probability and lower thresholds receiving sharply reduced odds, traders are reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes and the limited time left for significant model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$335Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts for Tokyo point to a daily minimum near 26–27°C on August 7, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 24–25°C, yet current model runs favor slightly warmer readings owing to increased cloud cover and the urban heat-island effect. With 27°C and 26°C each commanding roughly 50 % implied probability and lower thresholds receiving sharply reduced odds, traders are reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes and the limited time left for significant model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$335Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts for Tokyo point to a daily minimum near 26–27°C on August 7, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 24–25°C, yet current model runs favor slightly warmer readings owing to increased cloud cover and the urban heat-island effect. With 27°C and 26°C each commanding roughly 50 % implied probability and lower thresholds receiving sharply reduced odds, traders are reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes and the limited time left for significant model shifts before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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