**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C and typical early-August climatology.** Summer conditions in the region feature persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak nighttime cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 23–25°C band absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model consensus and observational trends show no significant deviations from this pattern, with daytime highs around 32–34°C reinforcing the expected diurnal range. Traders have converged on 24°C because this matches the authoritative forecast threshold most likely to be recorded at official stations. The primary risk of a different outcome stems from localized convective cooling during showers, a stronger-than-expected sea breeze, or minor station-to-station measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes these scenarios improbable before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$13,693 Vol.
$13,693 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$13,693 Vol.
$13,693 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C and typical early-August climatology.** Summer conditions in the region feature persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak nighttime cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 23–25°C band absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model consensus and observational trends show no significant deviations from this pattern, with daytime highs around 32–34°C reinforcing the expected diurnal range. Traders have converged on 24°C because this matches the authoritative forecast threshold most likely to be recorded at official stations. The primary risk of a different outcome stems from localized convective cooling during showers, a stronger-than-expected sea breeze, or minor station-to-station measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes these scenarios improbable before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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