Recent heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and clear skies, have produced daytime highs near 35–38°C in early August, establishing a warm baseline for Seoul and Incheon. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate that August 5 temperatures will hinge on the timing and extent of forecast thunderstorms, which could enhance cloud cover, increase humidity, and limit peak solar heating. These factors create tight clustering in trader probabilities around 33–35°C, reflecting uncertainty in convective development and steering flow. Updated short-range forecasts from KMA and NOAA analogs will likely refine the maximum by resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
34°C 34%
35°C 29%
33°C 26%
32°C 20%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
24%
34°C
34%
35°C
29%
36°C
14%
37°C or higher
10%
34°C 34%
35°C 29%
33°C 26%
32°C 20%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
24%
34°C
34%
35°C
29%
36°C
14%
37°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and clear skies, have produced daytime highs near 35–38°C in early August, establishing a warm baseline for Seoul and Incheon. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate that August 5 temperatures will hinge on the timing and extent of forecast thunderstorms, which could enhance cloud cover, increase humidity, and limit peak solar heating. These factors create tight clustering in trader probabilities around 33–35°C, reflecting uncertainty in convective development and steering flow. Updated short-range forecasts from KMA and NOAA analogs will likely refine the maximum by resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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