Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 3 centering on 31–33 °C because short-range model consensus and recent observational trends point to typical early-August monsoon conditions over the Sichuan Basin. Frequent afternoon showers and thick cloud cover, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon and lingering subtropical moisture, limit surface heating and cap daytime maxima near the climatological 30–32 °C average. Subtle differences in forecast timing of convective activity, boundary-layer moisture, and any brief breaks in cloudiness can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, which is why the market assigns nearly equal weight to 32 °C and 33 °C while assigning lower probability to 34 °C or above. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these variables in the final 48-hour window, directly influencing resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 3?
32°C 29%
33°C 27%
31°C 23%
34°C 15%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
12%
31°C
23%
32°C
29%
33°C
27%
34°C
15%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
3%
32°C 29%
33°C 27%
31°C 23%
34°C 15%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
12%
31°C
23%
32°C
29%
33°C
27%
34°C
15%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 3 centering on 31–33 °C because short-range model consensus and recent observational trends point to typical early-August monsoon conditions over the Sichuan Basin. Frequent afternoon showers and thick cloud cover, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon and lingering subtropical moisture, limit surface heating and cap daytime maxima near the climatological 30–32 °C average. Subtle differences in forecast timing of convective activity, boundary-layer moisture, and any brief breaks in cloudiness can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, which is why the market assigns nearly equal weight to 32 °C and 33 °C while assigning lower probability to 34 °C or above. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these variables in the final 48-hour window, directly influencing resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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