**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 25°C for August 3, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability.** Persistent moderate rain, northeasterly winds of 0–10 km/h, and high humidity near 85–97% are suppressing both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low at or just above this threshold. August climatology shows typical lows of 26–27°C, but the current synoptic pattern—cloud cover and precipitation—has produced slightly cooler conditions than average, consistent with model guidance. Key resolution criteria center on the official minimum recorded at the HKO reference station. While forecast confidence is high, a clearer sky or wind shift could allow temperatures to dip to 24°C in localized areas, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate this remains unlikely. Updated HKO briefings and real-time station data through the evening will be the primary drivers of any late adjustments in market-implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
25°C 98%
24°C 2%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
$24,858 Vol.
$24,858 Vol.
Aug 3, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
98%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98%
24°C 2%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
$24,858 Vol.
$24,858 Vol.
Aug 3, 2026
21°C or below
$2,609 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,825 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,294 Vol.
1%
24°C
$3,624 Vol.
2%
25°C
$5,340 Vol.
98%
26°C
$3,480 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$822 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,037 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$693 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$653 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 25°C for August 3, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability.** Persistent moderate rain, northeasterly winds of 0–10 km/h, and high humidity near 85–97% are suppressing both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low at or just above this threshold. August climatology shows typical lows of 26–27°C, but the current synoptic pattern—cloud cover and precipitation—has produced slightly cooler conditions than average, consistent with model guidance.
Key resolution criteria center on the official minimum recorded at the HKO reference station. While forecast confidence is high, a clearer sky or wind shift could allow temperatures to dip to 24°C in localized areas, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate this remains unlikely. Updated HKO briefings and real-time station data through the evening will be the primary drivers of any late adjustments in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$24,858Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 25°C for August 3, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability.** Persistent moderate rain, northeasterly winds of 0–10 km/h, and high humidity near 85–97% are suppressing both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low at or just above this threshold. August climatology shows typical lows of 26–27°C, but the current synoptic pattern—cloud cover and precipitation—has produced slightly cooler conditions than average, consistent with model guidance.
Key resolution criteria center on the official minimum recorded at the HKO reference station. While forecast confidence is high, a clearer sky or wind shift could allow temperatures to dip to 24°C in localized areas, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate this remains unlikely. Updated HKO briefings and real-time station data through the evening will be the primary drivers of any late adjustments in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,858Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 25°C for August 3, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability.** Persistent moderate rain, northeasterly winds of 0–10 km/h, and high humidity near 85–97% are suppressing both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low at or just above this threshold. August climatology shows typical lows of 26–27°C, but the current synoptic pattern—cloud cover and precipitation—has produced slightly cooler conditions than average, consistent with model guidance. Key resolution criteria center on the official minimum recorded at the HKO reference station. While forecast confidence is high, a clearer sky or wind shift could allow temperatures to dip to 24°C in localized areas, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate this remains unlikely. Updated HKO briefings and real-time station data through the evening will be the primary drivers of any late adjustments in market-implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong