Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and international models indicate a daily high of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 1, driven by persistent southerly airflow and lingering cloud cover that limits daytime warming in the region’s mid-winter regime. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across central New Zealand, consistent with typical August climatology of 12°C highs at Wellington. Ensemble guidance shows limited scope for stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that would push readings to 12°C or higher, while colder outliers remain unlikely without a stronger high-pressure system. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on August 1?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 1?
10°C 49%
11°C 31%
9°C 18%
12°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 1, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
18%
10°C
49%
11°C
31%
12°C
4%
13°C
2%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 49%
11°C 31%
9°C 18%
12°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 1, 2026
5°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$418 Vol.
1%
7°C
$31 Vol.
2%
8°C
$38 Vol.
2%
9°C
$206 Vol.
18%
10°C
$522 Vol.
49%
11°C
$400 Vol.
31%
12°C
$20 Vol.
4%
13°C
$304 Vol.
2%
14°C
$475 Vol.
1%
15°C or higher
$448 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and international models indicate a daily high of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 1, driven by persistent southerly airflow and lingering cloud cover that limits daytime warming in the region’s mid-winter regime. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across central New Zealand, consistent with typical August climatology of 12°C highs at Wellington. Ensemble guidance shows limited scope for stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that would push readings to 12°C or higher, while colder outliers remain unlikely without a stronger high-pressure system. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$3,228Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and international models indicate a daily high of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 1, driven by persistent southerly airflow and lingering cloud cover that limits daytime warming in the region’s mid-winter regime. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across central New Zealand, consistent with typical August climatology of 12°C highs at Wellington. Ensemble guidance shows limited scope for stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that would push readings to 12°C or higher, while colder outliers remain unlikely without a stronger high-pressure system. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,228Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and international models indicate a daily high of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 1, driven by persistent southerly airflow and lingering cloud cover that limits daytime warming in the region’s mid-winter regime. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across central New Zealand, consistent with typical August climatology of 12°C highs at Wellington. Ensemble guidance shows limited scope for stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that would push readings to 12°C or higher, while colder outliers remain unlikely without a stronger high-pressure system. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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