Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiational cooling overnight into August 5, positioning the minimum temperature in NYC near 68–71°F. This aligns with seasonal baselines for early August in Central Park, where typical lows fall in the upper 60s amid above-average summer temperatures projected by the Climate Prediction Center. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on these thresholds, with no approaching cold front or clear-sky conditions to drive sharper drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 60% probability for 70–71°F and 32% for 68–69°F captures this stable pattern, while lower-probability outcomes below 68°F would require unexpected cooling not supported by current guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in NYC on August 5?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 5?
70-71°F 62%
68-69°F 31%
72-73°F 9%
66-67°F 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 5, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
62%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 62%
68-69°F 31%
72-73°F 9%
66-67°F 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 5, 2026
57°F or below
$207 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$362 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$361 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$918 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,149 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$329 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$605 Vol.
31%
70-71°F
$1,671 Vol.
62%
72-73°F
$293 Vol.
14%
74-75°F
$2,172 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$891 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiational cooling overnight into August 5, positioning the minimum temperature in NYC near 68–71°F. This aligns with seasonal baselines for early August in Central Park, where typical lows fall in the upper 60s amid above-average summer temperatures projected by the Climate Prediction Center. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on these thresholds, with no approaching cold front or clear-sky conditions to drive sharper drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 60% probability for 70–71°F and 32% for 68–69°F captures this stable pattern, while lower-probability outcomes below 68°F would require unexpected cooling not supported by current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$8,958Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiational cooling overnight into August 5, positioning the minimum temperature in NYC near 68–71°F. This aligns with seasonal baselines for early August in Central Park, where typical lows fall in the upper 60s amid above-average summer temperatures projected by the Climate Prediction Center. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on these thresholds, with no approaching cold front or clear-sky conditions to drive sharper drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 60% probability for 70–71°F and 32% for 68–69°F captures this stable pattern, while lower-probability outcomes below 68°F would require unexpected cooling not supported by current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,958Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiational cooling overnight into August 5, positioning the minimum temperature in NYC near 68–71°F. This aligns with seasonal baselines for early August in Central Park, where typical lows fall in the upper 60s amid above-average summer temperatures projected by the Climate Prediction Center. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on these thresholds, with no approaching cold front or clear-sky conditions to drive sharper drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 60% probability for 70–71°F and 32% for 68–69°F captures this stable pattern, while lower-probability outcomes below 68°F would require unexpected cooling not supported by current guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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