Current observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies like NOAA align on a daytime maximum of 28°C for Istanbul on August 6, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical seasonal high pressure. This consensus reflects stable atmospheric conditions that limit further warming beyond the 27–29°C climatological range, with official airport measurements expected to settle precisely in that bin. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability for 28°C incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of model agreement and minimal uncertainty in the final hours. Only an abrupt shift—such as unexpected marine layer intrusion or measurement revision—could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 6?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 6?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,317 Vol.
$30,317 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,317 Vol.
$30,317 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
$397 Vol.
No
23°C
$469 Vol.
No
24°C
$382 Vol.
No
25°C
$292 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,400 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,421 Vol.
No
28°C
$9,967 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$4,963 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,141 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,063 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$822 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies like NOAA align on a daytime maximum of 28°C for Istanbul on August 6, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical seasonal high pressure. This consensus reflects stable atmospheric conditions that limit further warming beyond the 27–29°C climatological range, with official airport measurements expected to settle precisely in that bin. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability for 28°C incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of model agreement and minimal uncertainty in the final hours. Only an abrupt shift—such as unexpected marine layer intrusion or measurement revision—could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$30,317Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies like NOAA align on a daytime maximum of 28°C for Istanbul on August 6, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical seasonal high pressure. This consensus reflects stable atmospheric conditions that limit further warming beyond the 27–29°C climatological range, with official airport measurements expected to settle precisely in that bin. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability for 28°C incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of model agreement and minimal uncertainty in the final hours. Only an abrupt shift—such as unexpected marine layer intrusion or measurement revision—could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,317Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Current observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies like NOAA align on a daytime maximum of 28°C for Istanbul on August 6, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical seasonal high pressure. This consensus reflects stable atmospheric conditions that limit further warming beyond the 27–29°C climatological range, with official airport measurements expected to settle precisely in that bin. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability for 28°C incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of model agreement and minimal uncertainty in the final hours. Only an abrupt shift—such as unexpected marine layer intrusion or measurement revision—could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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