Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and major models indicate peak temperatures near 34°C on August 8, 2026, aligning with above-normal seasonal outlooks for the month amid typical summer humidity and light winds. This drives the 91.5% market-implied probability, as historical August maxima average 31–32°C with limited deviation under current steering patterns and cloud cover. Recent model runs show consistency around this threshold rather than extremes. A clear-sky intensification or stalled high-pressure system could push readings to 35°C, while increased convection or typhoon influences might cap the daily high below 34°C, though such shifts appear low-probability given present atmospheric conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
34°C 92%
35°C 9%
36°C <1%
31°C or below <1%
$116,682 Vol.
$116,682 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
92%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 92%
35°C 9%
36°C <1%
31°C or below <1%
$116,682 Vol.
$116,682 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$3,439 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,876 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$24,216 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$18,107 Vol.
92%
35°C
$18,701 Vol.
9%
36°C
$17,536 Vol.
1%
37°C
$17,668 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$5,216 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$2,199 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$962 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$762 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and major models indicate peak temperatures near 34°C on August 8, 2026, aligning with above-normal seasonal outlooks for the month amid typical summer humidity and light winds. This drives the 91.5% market-implied probability, as historical August maxima average 31–32°C with limited deviation under current steering patterns and cloud cover. Recent model runs show consistency around this threshold rather than extremes. A clear-sky intensification or stalled high-pressure system could push readings to 35°C, while increased convection or typhoon influences might cap the daily high below 34°C, though such shifts appear low-probability given present atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$116,682Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and major models indicate peak temperatures near 34°C on August 8, 2026, aligning with above-normal seasonal outlooks for the month amid typical summer humidity and light winds. This drives the 91.5% market-implied probability, as historical August maxima average 31–32°C with limited deviation under current steering patterns and cloud cover. Recent model runs show consistency around this threshold rather than extremes. A clear-sky intensification or stalled high-pressure system could push readings to 35°C, while increased convection or typhoon influences might cap the daily high below 34°C, though such shifts appear low-probability given present atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$116,682Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and major models indicate peak temperatures near 34°C on August 8, 2026, aligning with above-normal seasonal outlooks for the month amid typical summer humidity and light winds. This drives the 91.5% market-implied probability, as historical August maxima average 31–32°C with limited deviation under current steering patterns and cloud cover. Recent model runs show consistency around this threshold rather than extremes. A clear-sky intensification or stalled high-pressure system could push readings to 35°C, while increased convection or typhoon influences might cap the daily high below 34°C, though such shifts appear low-probability given present atmospheric conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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